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Under the key assumption of finite {\rho}-variation, {\rho}\in[1,2), of the covariance of the underlying Gaussian process, sharp a.s. convergence rates for approximations of Gaussian rough paths are established. When applied to Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Peter Friz , Sebastian Riedel

The dynamics of rough differential equations (RDEs) has recently received a lot of interest. For example, the existence of local random center manifolds for RDEs has been established. In this work, we present an approximation for local…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Alexandra Blessing , Dennis Rudik

We construct a canonical geometric rough path over $d$-dimensional tempered fractional Brownian motion (tfBm) for any Hurst parameter $H > 1/4$ and tempering parameter $\lambda > 0$. The main challenge stems from the non-homogeneous nature…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Atef Lechiheb

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

Starting from the construction of a geometric rough path associated with a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in]{1/4}, {1/2}[$ given by Coutin and Qian (2002), we prove a large deviation principle in the space of geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Annie Millet , Marta Sanz-Solé

The hierarchical prior used in Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) induces a posterior geometry prone to frustrate inference algorithms. Marginalizing out the latent Gaussian variable using an integrated Laplace approximation removes the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-28 Charles C. Margossian

We study the relationship between mixed stochastic differential equations and the corresponding rough path equations driven by standard Brownian motion and fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. We establish a correction…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

We study approximations to a class of vector-valued equations of Burgers type driven by a multiplicative space-time white noise. A solution theory for this class of equations has been developed recently in [Hairer, Weber, Probab. Theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Martin Hairer , Jan Maas , Hendrik Weber

We consider the rough differential equation with drift driven by a Gaussian geometric rough path. Under natural conditions on the rough path, namely non-determinism, and uniform ellipticity conditions on the diffusion coefficient, we prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Rémi Catellier , Romain Duboscq

We consider the rough differential equation $dY=f(Y)d\bm \om$ where $\bm \om=(\omega,\bbomega)$ is a rough path defined by a Brownian motion $\omega$ on $\RR^m$. Under the usual regularity assumption on $f$, namely $f\in C^3_b (\RR^d,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Hongjun Gao , María J. Garrido-Atienza , Anhui Gu , Kening Lu , Björn Schmalfuss

A method is introduced for approximate marginal likelihood inference via adaptive Gaussian quadrature in mixed models with a single grouping factor. The core technical contribution is an algorithm for computing the exact gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Alex Stringer

We develop an underlying relationship between the theory of rational approximations and that of isomonodromic deformations. We show that a certain duality in Hermite's two approximation problems for functions leads to the Schlesinger…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Toshiyuki Mano , Teruhisa Tsuda

We study solutions to backward differential equations that are driven hybridly by a deterministic discontinuous rough path $W$ of finite $q$-variation for $q \in [1, 2)$ and by Brownian motion $B$. To distinguish between integration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Dirk Becherer , Yuchen Sun

Laplace's method approximates a target density with a Gaussian distribution at its mode. It is computationally efficient and asymptotically exact for Bayesian inference due to the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, but for complex targets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Mark Girolami , Arto Klami

We consider a system of differential equations in a fast long range dependent random environment and prove a homogenization theorem involving multiple scaling constants. The effective dynamics solves a rough differential equation, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Johann Gehringer , Xue-Mei Li

In this paper, we study reflected differential equations driven by continuous paths with finite $p$-variation ($1\le p<2$) and $p$-rough paths ($2\le p<3$) on domains in Euclidean spaces whose boundaries may not be smooth. We define…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-24 Shigeki Aida

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We prove precise rates of convergence for monotone approximation schemes of fractional and nonlocal Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations. We consider diffusion corrected difference-quadrature schemes from the literature and new…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Indranil Chowdhury , Espen R. Jakobsen

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We consider differential equations driven by rough paths and study the regularity of the laws and their long time behavior. In particular, we focus on the case when the driving noise is a rough path valued fractional Brownian motion with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Martin Hairer , Natesh S. Pillai