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Under a fourth order moment condition on the branching and a second order moment condition on the immigration mechanisms, we show that an appropriately scaled projection of a supercritical and irreducible continuous state and continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Matyas Barczy , Sandra Palau , Gyula Pap

We study nonparametric Bayesian models for reversible multi-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. For continuous observation paths, reversibility is exploited to prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

The reflected process of a random walk or L\'evy process arises in many areas of applied probability, and a question of particular interest is how the tail of the distribution of the heights of the excursions away from zero behaves…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 R. A. Doney , Philip S. Griffin

This paper establishes the global asymptotic equivalence, in the sense of the Le Cam $\Delta$-distance, between scalar diffusion models with unknown drift function and small variance on the one side, and nonparametric autoregressive models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-05 Ester Mariucci

This work is devoted to a vast extension of Sanov's theorem, in Laplace principle form, based on alternatives to the classical convex dual pair of relative entropy and cumulant generating functional. The abstract results give rise to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Daniel Lacker

We establish a novel generalization of the fluctuation theorem for partially-masked nonequilibrium dynamics. We introduce a partial entropy production with a subset of all possible transitions, and show that the partial entropy production…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-20 Naoto Shiraishi , Takahiro Sagawa

We discuss an extension of the fluctuation theorem to stochastic models that, in the limit of zero external drive, are not able to equilibrate with their environment, extending results presented by Sellitto (cond-mat/9809186). We show that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 F. Zamponi , F. Bonetto , L. F. Cugliandolo , J. Kurchan

Under natural assumptions, a Feller type diffusion approximation is derived for critical, irreducible multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration. Namely, it is proved that a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap

We introduce "logically contractive mappings" nonexpansive self-maps that contract along a subsequence of iterates and prove a fixed-point theorem that extends Banach's principle. We obtain event-indexed convergence rates and, under bounded…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Faruk Alpay , Taylan Alpay

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression curve when the data are observed with multiplicative distortion which depends on an observed confounding variable. We suggest several estimators, ranging from a relatively simple one that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Wen-Xin Zhou

We present two theorems concerned with algorithmic randomness and differentiability of functions of several variables. Firstly, we prove an effective form of the Rademacher's Theorem: we show that computable randomness implies…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Alex Galicki , Daniel Turetsky

Adaptive experiments are becoming increasingly popular in real-world applications for effectively maximizing in-sample welfare and efficiency by data-driven sampling. Despite their growing prevalence, however, the statistical foundations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Ziang Niu , Zhimei Ren

We prove a version of a general transfer theorem for random sequences with independent random indexes in the double array limit setting under relaxed conditions. We also prove its partial inverse providing the necessary and sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 V. Yu. Korolev , A. I. Zeifman

The main goal of this work is to provide a description of transitions from uniform to non-uniform snychronization in diffusions based on large deviation estimates for finite time Lyapunov exponents. These can be characterized in terms of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Alexandra Blessing , Alex Blumenthal , Maxime Breden , Maximilian Engel

A standard approach to computing expectations with respect to a given target measure is to introduce an overdamped Langevin equation which is reversible with respect to the target distribution, and to approximate the expectation by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 A. B. Duncan , T. Lelievre , G. A. Pavliotis

Establishing a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) proves to be a powerful result for a vast number of stochastic models in many application areas of probability theory. The key object of an LDP is the large deviations rate function, from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Ken R. Duffy , Brendan D. Williamson

We explore some properties of the conditional distribution of an i.i.d. sample under large exceedances of its sum. Thresholds for the asymptotic independance of the summands are observed, in contrast with the classical case when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Maeva Biret , Michel Broniatowski , Zangsheng Cao

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

In this note, we study Luenberger-type full-state observers for nonlinear systems using contraction theory. We show that if the matrix measure of a suitably defined Jacobian matrix constructed from the dynamics of the system-observer…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Samuel Coogan , Murat Arcak

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev