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We prove central limit theorem for linear eigenvalue statistics of orthogonally invariant ensembles of random matrices with one interval limiting spectrum. We consider ensembles with real analytic potentials and test functions with two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-11-13 M. Shcherbina

Sharp, nonasymptotic bounds are obtained for the relative entropy between the distributions of sampling with and without replacement from an urn with balls of $c\geq 2$ colors. Our bounds are asymptotically tight in certain regimes and,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Oliver Johnson , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We propose and study a new model for competitions, specifically sports multi-player leagues where the initial strengths of the teams are independent i.i.d. random variables that evolve during different days of the league according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Jacopo Borga , Benedetta Cavalli

We consider a class of non-conformal expanding maps on the $d$-dimensional torus. For an equilibrium measure of an H\"older potential, we prove an analogue of the Central Limit Theorem for the fluctuations of the logarithm of the measure of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-12-17 Renaud Leplaideur , Benoit Saussol

Elections for public offices in democratic nations are large-scale examples of collective decision-making. As a complex system with a multitude of interactions among agents, we can anticipate that universal macroscopic patterns could emerge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-14 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

This article describes a purely analytic approach to urn models of the generalized or extended P\'olya-Eggenberger type, in the case of two types of balls and constant ``balance,'' that is, constant row sum. The treatment starts from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Philippe Flajolet , Joaquim Gabarro , Helmut Pekari

We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

For the interacting urn model with polynomial reinforcement, it has been conjectured that almost surely one color monopolizes all the urns if the interaction parameter $p>0$. We disprove the conjecture. For the case $p=1$, we give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Shuo Qin

We study coverage processes in which each draw reveals a subset of $[n]$, and the goal is to determine the expected number of draws until all items are seen at least once. A classical example is the Coupon Collector's Problem, where each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Yitzchak Grunbaum , Eitan Yaakobi

We develop large sample theory for merged data from multiple sources. Main statistical issues treated in this paper are (1) the same unit potentially appears in multiple datasets from overlapping data sources, (2) duplicated items are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Takumi Saegusa

Suppose you can color $n$ \emph{biased} coins with $n$ colors, all coins having the same bias. It is forbidden to color both sides of a coin with the same color, but all other colors are allowed. Let $X$ be the number of different colors…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Christos Pelekis

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

We study the problem of designing consistent sequential two-sample tests in a nonparametric setting. Guided by the principle of testing by betting, we reframe this task into that of selecting a sequence of payoff functions that maximize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

Random walkers absorbing on a boundary sample the Harmonic Measure linearly and independently: we discuss how the recurrence times between impacts enable non-linear moments of the measure to be estimated. From this we derive a new technique…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ellak Somfai , Nicholas R. Goold , Robin C. Ball , Jason P. DeVita , Leonard M. Sander

Counting votes is complex and error-prone. Several statistical methods have been developed to assess election accuracy by manually inspecting randomly selected physical ballots. Two 'principled' methods are risk-limiting audits (RLAs) and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-13 Zhuoqun Huang , Ronald L. Rivest , Philip B. Stark , Vanessa Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

A model named `Colored Percolation' has been introduced with its infinite number of versions in two dimensions. The sites of a regular lattice are randomly occupied with probability $p$ and are then colored by one of the $n$ distinct colors…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 Sumanta Kundu , S. S. Manna

Since its inception in 1907, the Ehrenfest urn model (EUM) has served as a test bed of key concepts of statistical mechanics. Here we employ this model to study large deviations of a time-additive quantity. We consider two continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-28 Baruch Meerson , Pini Zilber

Considerable interest has recently been focused on studying multiple phenotypes simultaneously in both epidemiological and genomic studies, either to capture the multidimensionality of complex disorders or to understand shared etiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Denis Agniel , Katherine P. Liao , Tianxi Cai

We introduce and discuss a special type of feedback interacting urn model with deterministic interaction. This is a generalisation of the very well known Eggenberger and Polya (1923) urn model. In our model, balls are added to a particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Krishanu Maulik , Manit Paul

We prove a randomized version of the generalized Urysohn inequality relating mean-width to the other intrinsic volumes. To do this, we introduce a stochastic approximation procedure that sees each convex body K as the limit of intersections…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Grigoris Paouris , Peter Pivovarov