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Machine learning models are increasingly used to produce predictions that serve as input data in subsequent statistical analyses. For example, computer vision predictions of economic and environmental indicators based on satellite imagery…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Dan M. Kluger , Kerri Lu , Tijana Zrnic , Sherrie Wang , Stephen Bates

Many practical decision-making problems in economics and healthcare seek to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. The Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DML) is one of the prevalent methods to estimate ATE in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-07 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Shumin Ma , Zhiri Yuan , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

We consider random sample splitting for estimation and inference in high dimensional generalized linear models, where we first apply the lasso to select a submodel using one subsample and then apply the debiased lasso to fit the selected…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Omar Vazquez , Bin Nan

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

Iterative preference optimization has recently become one of the de-facto training paradigms for large language models (LLMs), but the performance is still underwhelming due to too much noisy preference data yielded in the loop. To combat…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Jianing Wang , Yang Zhou , Xiaocheng Zhang , Mengjiao Bao , Peng Yan

Automated decision making is used routinely throughout our everyday life. Recommender systems decide which jobs, movies, or other user profiles might be interesting to us. Spell checkers help us to make good use of language. Fraud detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Alexander Jung , Pedro H. J. Nardelli

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities across a wide range of natural language processing tasks. However, their outputs often exhibit social biases, raising fairness concerns. Existing debiasing methods, such…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yujie Lin , Kunquan Li , Yixuan Liao , Xiaoxin Chen , Jinsong Su

Comprehensive evaluation of Large Language Models (LLMs) is an open research problem. Existing evaluations rely on deterministic point estimates generated via greedy decoding. However, we find that deterministic evaluations fail to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yan Scholten , Stephan Günnemann , Leo Schwinn

This paper discusses difference-in-differences (DID) estimation when there exist many control variables, potentially more than the sample size. In this case, traditional estimation methods, which require a limited number of variables, do…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-09 Neng-Chieh Chang

Unlike parametric regression, machine learning (ML) methods do not generally require precise knowledge of the true data generating mechanisms. As such, numerous authors have advocated for ML methods to estimate causal effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Ashley I Naimi , Alan E Mishler , Edward H Kennedy

Mendelian randomization (MR) has become a popular approach to study the effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome by using genetic variants as instrumental variables. A challenge in MR is that each genetic variant explains a relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Hyunseung Kang

Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) achieve near ab initio accuracy at a fraction of the cost of quantum-mechanical simulations, yet they remain prone to silent failures on out-of-distribution configurations, making principled…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Olga Zaghen , Maksim Zhdanov , Dario Coscia , David R. Wessels , Erik J. Bekkers

Point estimation is a fundamental statistical task. Given the wide selection of available point estimators, it is unclear, however, what, if any, would be universally-agreed theoretical reasons to generally prefer one such estimator over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Michael Brand

Universal machine learning interatomic potentials (uMLIPs) represent arguably the most successful application of machine learning to materials science, demonstrating remarkable performance across diverse applications. However, critical…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-26 Antoine Loew , Jonathan Schmidt , Silvana Botti , Miguel A. L. Marques

In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over $d$-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

This paper studies double/debiased machine learning (DML) methods applied to weakly dependent data. We allow observations to be situated in a general metric space that accommodates spatial and network data. Existing work implements…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-17 Jianfei Cao , Michael P. Leung

Ensemble-based debiasing methods have been shown effective in mitigating the reliance of classifiers on specific dataset bias, by exploiting the output of a bias-only model to adjust the learning target. In this paper, we focus on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ruibin Xiong , Yimeng Chen , Liang Pang , Xueqi Chen , Yanyan Lan

Language models (LMs) have achieved impressive accuracy across a variety of tasks but remain vulnerable to high-confidence misclassifications, also referred to as unknown unknowns (UUs). These UUs cluster into blind spots in the feature…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Philip Lippmann , Matthijs T. J. Spaan , Jie Yang

Deep metric learning (DML) aims to minimize empirical expected loss of the pairwise intra-/inter- class proximity violations in the embedding space. We relate DML to feasibility problem of finite chance constraints. We show that minimizer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Yeti Z. Gurbuz , Ogul Can , A. Aydin Alatan

We propose an online debiased lasso (ODL) method for statistical inference in high-dimensional linear models with streaming data. The proposed ODL consists of an efficient computational algorithm for streaming data and approximately normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Ruijian Han , Lan Luo , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang
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