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We describe a new family of coupling designs, extending the basic principle of stratified randomization to experiments with continuous, constrained multivariate, text/image and other irregular treatment spaces. Our approach is to first…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Max Cytrynbaum , Fredrik Sävje

Causal inference plays an important role in explanatory analysis and decision making across various fields like statistics, marketing, health care, and education. Its main task is to estimate treatment effects and make intervention…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Yingrong Wang , Haoxuan Li , Minqin Zhu , Anpeng Wu , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu , Kun Kuang

It is recognised that treatment-related clustering should be allowed for in the sample size and analyses of individually-randomised parallel-group trials that evaluate therapist-delivered interventions such as psychotherapy. Here,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Rebecca EA Walwyn , Rosemary A Bailey , Arpan Singh , Neil Corrigan , Steven G Gilmour

Estimating causal effects is particularly challenging when outcomes arise in complex, non-Euclidean spaces, where conventional methods often fail to capture meaningful structural variation. We develop a framework for topological causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Kwangho Kim , Hajin Lee

In this paper we study saturated fractions of factorial designs under the perspective of Algebraic Statistics. We define a criterion to check whether a fraction is saturated or not with respect to a given model. The proposed criterion is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-01 Roberto Fontana , Fabio Rapallo , Maria-Piera Rogantin

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

The clustered observational study (COS) design is the observational study counterpart to the clustered randomized trial. In a COS, a treatment is assigned to intact groups, and all units within the group are exposed to the treatment.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Ting Ye , Ted Westling , Lindsay Page , Luke Keele

Bipartite experiments are a recent object of study in causal inference, whereby treatment is applied to one set of units and outcomes of interest are measured on a different set of units. These experiments are particularly useful in…

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

This paper considers inference when there is a single treated cluster and a fixed number of control clusters, a setting that is common in empirical work, especially in difference-in-differences designs. We use the t-statistic and develop…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Chun Pong Lau , Xinran Li

In many causal inference applications, only one or a few units (or clusters of units) are treated. An important challenge in such settings is that standard inference methods relying on asymptotic theory may be unreliable, even with large…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-22 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman , Kaspar Wüthrich

In medical research, a scenario often entertained is randomized controlled $2^2$ factorial design with a binary outcome. By utilizing the concept of potential outcomes, Dasgupta et al. (2015) proposed a randomization-based causal inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Jiannan Lu

Factorial designs with randomization restrictions are often used in industrial experiments when a complete randomization of trials is impractical. In the statistics literature, the analysis, construction and isomorphism of factorial designs…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 Neil A. Spencer , Pritam Ranjan , Franklin Mendivil

A sensitivity analysis in an observational study assesses the robustness of significant findings to unmeasured confounding. While sensitivity analyses in matched observational studies have been well addressed when there is a single outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Colin B. Fogarty , Dylan S. Small

Despite their cost, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are widely regarded as gold-standard evidence in disciplines ranging from social science to medicine. In recent decades, researchers have increasingly sought to reduce the resource…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Guilherme Duarte

The increasing interest in subpopulation analysis has led to the development of various new trial designs and analysis methods in the fields of personalized medicine and targeted therapies. In this paper, subpopulations are defined in terms…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Roland Gerard Gera , Tim Friede

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Target trial emulation has improved comparative effectiveness research by making the causal question, assumptions, and analysis plan explicit. However, target trial protocols are usually developed iteratively. After examining the data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Mats Julius Stensrud

Suppose that we intend to perform an experiment consisting of a set of independent trials. The mean value of the response of each trial is assumed to be equal to the sum of the effect of the treatment selected for the trial, and some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Samuel Rosa , Radoslav Harman

This paper develops a general causal inference method for treatment effects models with noisily measured confounders. The key feature is that a large set of noisy measurements are linked with the underlying latent confounders through an…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-14 Yingjie Feng