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In recent years, generative models have shown remarkable capabilities across diverse fields, including images, videos, language, and decision-making. By applying powerful generative models such as flow-based models to reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Jifeng Hu , Sili Huang , Siyuan Guo , Zhaogeng Liu , Li Shen , Lichao Sun , Hechang Chen , Yi Chang , Dacheng Tao

Tree search is a fundamental tool for planning, as many sequential decision-making problems can be framed as searching over tree-structured spaces. We propose an uncertainty-guided tree search algorithm for settings where the reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Julia Grosse , Ruotian Wu , Ahmad Rashid , Cheng Zhang , Philipp Hennig , Pascal Poupart , Agustinus Kristiadi

Normalizing flows are a flexible class of probability distributions, expressed as transformations of a simple base distribution. A limitation of standard normalizing flows is representing distributions with heavy tails, which arise in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-13 Tennessee Hickling , Dennis Prangle

We introduce a novel generative model for the representation of joint probability distributions of a possibly large number of discrete random variables. The approach uses measure transport by randomized assignment flows on the statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-15 Bastian Boll , Daniel Gonzalez-Alvarado , Stefania Petra , Christoph Schnörr

This work studies the statistical implications of using features comprised of general linear combinations of covariates to partition the data in randomized decision tree and forest regression algorithms. Using random tessellation theory in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Eliza O'Reilly

Sampling-based motion planning is the predominant paradigm in many real-world robotic applications, but its performance is immensely dependent on the quality of the samples. The majority of traditional planners are inefficient as they use…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Tin Lai , Fabio Ramos

Generative modeling provides a powerful framework for learning data distributions. These models initially relied on probabilistic methods such as Gaussian Processes (GP) for uncertainty-aware predictions and shifted towards larger trainable…

Diffusion and flow-matching have emerged as powerful methodologies for generative modeling, with remarkable success in capturing complex data distributions and enabling flexible guidance at inference time. Many downstream applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Zeyang Li , Kaveh Alim , Navid Azizan

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

The increasing complexity of data requires methods and models that can effectively handle intricate structures, as simplifying them would result in loss of information. While several analytical tools have been developed to work with complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Riccardo Giubilei , Tullia Padellini , Pierpaolo Brutti

Deep generative models have made rapid progress in image, text, audio, and video generation, and are increasingly being applied to structured records. For tabular data, however, generative modeling remains difficult: a dataset may contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Zhong Li , Qi Huang , Lincen Yang , Jiayang Shi , Zhao Yang , Niki van Stein , Thomas Bäck , Matthijs van Leeuwen

Guiding pretrained flow-based generative models for conditional generation or to produce samples with desired target properties enables solving diverse tasks without retraining on paired data. We present ESS-Flow, a gradient-free method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Adhithyan Kalaivanan , Zheng Zhao , Jens Sjölund , Fredrik Lindsten

Random forests are a statistical learning technique that use bootstrap aggregation to average high-variance and low-bias trees. Improvements to random forests, such as applying Lasso regression to the tree predictions, have been proposed in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Jing Shang , James Bannon , Benjamin Haibe-Kains , Robert Tibshirani

Model trees provide an appealing way to perform interpretable machine learning for both classification and regression problems. In contrast to ``classic'' decision trees with constant values in their leaves, model trees can use linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Sabino Francesco Roselli , Eibe Frank

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in incorporating neural networks into particle filters, e.g. differentiable particle filters, to perform joint sequential state estimation and model learning for non-linear non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

We propose methods to improve the forecasts from generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models (Creal et. al, 2013; Harvey, 2013) by localizing their parameters using decision trees and random forests. These methods avoid the curse of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-31 Andrew J. Patton , Yasin Simsek

Statistical models are an essential tool to model, forecast and understand the hydrological processes in watersheds. In particular, the understanding of time lags associated with the delay between rainfall occurrence and subsequent changes…

Generative AI (GenAI) has revolutionized data-driven modeling by enabling the synthesis of high-dimensional data across various applications, including image generation, language modeling, biomedical signal processing, and anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Yao Xie , Xiuyuan Cheng

Various machine learning tasks, from generative modeling to domain adaptation, revolve around the concept of dataset transformation and manipulation. While various methods exist for transforming unlabeled datasets, principled methods to do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 David Alvarez-Melis , Nicolò Fusi