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Prediction of events is the challenge in many different disciplines, from meteorology to finance; the more this task is difficult, the more a system is {\it complex}. Nevertheless, even according to this restricted definition, a general…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Maurizio Serva

Influence diagram is a graphical representation of belief networks with uncertainty. This article studies the structural properties of a probabilistic model in an influence diagram. In particular, structural controllability theorems and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Brian Y. Chan , Ross D. Shachter

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

The lack of studying the complex organization of directed network usually limits to the understanding of underlying relationship between network structures and functions. Structural controllability and structural predictability, two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-31 Fei Jing , Chuang Liu , Jian-Liang Wu , Zi-Ke Zhang

We examine the issue of stability of probability in reasoning about complex systems with uncertainty in structure. Normally, propositions are viewed as probability functions on an abstract random graph where it is implicitly assumed that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Subhash Kak

With an increasing amount of observations on the dynamics of many complex systems, it is required to reveal the underlying mechanisms behind these complex dynamics, which is fundamentally important in many scientific fields such as climate,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Zhendong Yu , Haiping Huang

Many different classification tasks need to manage structured data, which are usually modeled as graphs. Moreover, these graphs can be dynamic, meaning that the vertices/edges of each graph may change during time. Our goal is to jointly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Franco Manessi , Alessandro Rozza , Mario Manzo

Probabilistic graphical models combine the graph theory and probability theory to give a multivariate statistical modeling. They provide a unified description of uncertainty using probability and complexity using the graphical model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-30 Yang Zhou

Information flow provides a natural measure for the causal interaction between dynamical events. This study extends our previous rigorous formalism of componentwise information flow to the bulk information flow between two complex…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 X. San Liang

Graphical models have proven to be powerful tools for representing high-dimensional systems of random variables. One example of such a model is the undirected graph, in which lack of an edge represents conditional independence between two…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-11 Dhafer Malouche , Bala Rajaratnam , Benjamin T. Rolfs

Randomly-assembled dynamical systems are theoretically predicted to be unstable upon crossing a critical threshold of complexity, as first shown by May. Yet, empirical complex systems exhibit remarkable stability, indicating the presence of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-03-31 Francesco Ferraro , Christian Grilletta , Amos Maritan , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele

Complex system arises as a result of the nonlinear interactions between components. In particular, the evolutionary dynamics of a multivariate system encodes the ways in which different variables interact with each other individually or in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Peishi Jiang , Praveen Kumar

This Thesis explores how tools from Statistical Physics and Information Theory can help us describe and understand complex systems. In the first part, we study the interplay between internal interactions, environmental changes, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Giorgio Nicoletti

We derive a unified stochastic picture for the duality of a resampling-selection model with a branching-coalescing particle process (cf. http://www.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=MR2123250) and for the self-duality of Feller's branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-16 Roland Alkemper , Martin Hutzenthaler

Interacting systems are ubiquitous in nature and engineering, ranging from particle dynamics in physics to functionally connected brain regions. These interacting systems can be modeled by graphs where edges correspond to the interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Zhichao Han , Olga Fink , David S. Kammer

Mechanistic interpretability aims to understand how neural networks generalize beyond their training data by reverse-engineering their internal structures. We introduce patterning as the dual problem: given a desired form of generalization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 George Wang , Daniel Murfet

Recent studies have shown great promise in applying graph neural networks for multivariate time series forecasting, where the interactions of time series are described as a graph structure and the variables are represented as the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Junchen Ye , Zihan Liu , Bowen Du , Leilei Sun , Weimiao Li , Yanjie Fu , Hui Xiong

Capturing both the structural and temporal aspects of interactions is crucial for many real world datasets like contact between individuals. Using the link stream formalism to capture the dynamic of the systems, we tackle the issue of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Thibaud Arnoux , Lionel Tabourier , Matthieu Latapy

Systematic relations between multiple objects that occur in various fields can be represented as networks. Real-world networks typically exhibit complex topologies whose structural properties are key factors in characterizing and further…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-09 Yoshihisa Tanaka , Ryosuke Kojima , Shoichi Ishida , Fumiyoshi Yamashita , Yasushi Okuno

In reliable decision-making systems based on machine learning, models have to be robust to distributional shifts or provide the uncertainty of their predictions. In node-level problems of graph learning, distributional shifts can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Gleb Bazhenov , Denis Kuznedelev , Andrey Malinin , Artem Babenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova
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