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We review how to simulate continuous determinantal point processes (DPPs) and improve the current simulation algorithms in several important special cases as well as detail how certain types of conditional simulation can be carried out.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Frédéric Lavancier , Ege Rubak

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

I prove that if markets are weak-form efficient, meaning current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices, then P = NP, meaning every computational problem whose solution can be verified in polynomial time can also be…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-14 Philip Maymin

Frontal photopolymerization (FPP) provides a versatile method for the rapid fabrication of solid polymer network materials by exposing photosensitive molecules to light. Dimensional control of structures created by this process is crucial…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-11 James A. Warren , Joao T. Cabral , Jack F. Douglas

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are an elegant model for encoding probabilities over subsets, such as shopping baskets, of a ground set, such as an item catalog. They are useful for a number of machine learning tasks, including product…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Mike Gartrell , Ulrich Paquet , Noam Koenigstein

We introduce Functional Diffusion Processes (FDPs), which generalize score-based diffusion models to infinite-dimensional function spaces. FDPs require a new mathematical framework to describe the forward and backward dynamics, and several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Giulio Franzese , Giulio Corallo , Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Maurizio Filippone , Pietro Michiardi

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) offer an elegant tool for encoding probabilities over subsets of a ground set. Discrete DPPs are parametrized by a positive semidefinite matrix (called the DPP kernel), and estimating this kernel is key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-12 Zelda Mariet , Suvrit Sra

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

In this paper, we resolve the computational complexity of a number of outstanding open problems with practical applications. Here is the list of problems we show to be PPAD-complete, along with the domains of practical significance:…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2009-04-10 Shiva Kintali , Laura J. Poplawski , Rajmohan Rajaraman , Ravi Sundaram , Shang-Hua Teng

We consider the problem of optimal portfolio selection under forward investment performance criteria in an incomplete market. The dynamics of the prices of the traded assets depend on a pair of stochastic factors, namely, a slow factor…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-25 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Ronnie Sircar , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

Accurate forecasting in financial markets requires integrating diverse data sources, from historical prices to macroeconomic indicators and financial news. However, existing models often fail to align these modalities effectively, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yunhua Pei , John Cartlidge , Anandadeep Mandal , Daniel Gold , Enrique Marcilio , Riccardo Mazzon

An efficient computational algorithm to price financial derivatives is presented. It is based on a path integral formulation of the pricing problem. It is shown how the path integral approach can be worked out in order to obtain fast and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini , N. Moreni

While machine learning has witnessed significant advancements, the emphasis has largely been on data acquisition and model creation. However, achieving a comprehensive assessment of machine learning solutions in real-world settings…

We propose and study a planning problem we call Sequential Fault-Intolerant Process Planning (SFIPP). SFIPP captures a reward structure common in many sequential multi-stage decision problems where the planning is deemed successful only if…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Andrzej Kaczmarczyk , Davin Choo , Niclas Boehmer , Milind Tambe , Haifeng Xu

I develop a feasible weighted projected principal component (FPPC) analysis for factor models in which observable characteristics partially explain the latent factors. This novel method provides more efficient and accurate estimators than…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-23 Sung Hoon Choi

Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) are a tool for creating exchange markets, have been deployed effectively in prediction markets, and are now especially prominent in the Decentralized Finance ecosystem. We show that for any set of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Mohak Goyal , Geoffrey Ramseyer , Ashish Goel , David Mazières

Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events. Current neural network approaches to MTPP inference rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , César Ojeda , Ramsés J. Sánchez

In this article we derive partial differential equations (PDEs) for pricing interest rate derivatives under the generalized Forward Market Model (FMM) recently presented by A. Lyashenko and F. Mercurio in \cite{lyashenkoMercurio:Mar2019} to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 J. G. López-Salas , S. Pérez-Rodríguez , C. Vázquez

This paper analyses the forecasting performance of a new class of factor models with martingale difference errors (FMMDE) recently introduced by Lee and Shao (2018). The FMMDE makes it possible to retrieve a transformation of the original…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-23 Luca Mattia Rolla , Alessandro Giovannelli

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese