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Modeling of longitudinal cohort data typically involves complex temporal dependencies between multiple variables. There, the transformer architecture, which has been highly successful in language and vision applications, allows us to…

Since its inception in "Attention Is All You Need", transformer architecture has led to revolutionary advancements in NLP. The attention layer within the transformer admits a sequence of input tokens $X$ and makes them interact through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , Yingcong Li , Christos Thrampoulidis , Samet Oymak

Financial portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in mathematics, statistics, financial and computational literature. It adheres to determining an optimal combination of weights associated with financial assets held in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-21 Ankit Dangi

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

Price Trend Prediction (PTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data is a fundamental challenge in financial markets. Despite advances in deep learning, existing models fail to generalize across different market conditions and assets.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-09 Leonardo Berti , Gjergji Kasneci

The goal of constrained multiobjective evolutionary optimization is to obtain a set of well-converged and welldistributed feasible solutions. To complete this goal, there should be a tradeoff among feasibility, diversity, and convergence.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Bing-Chuan Wang , Yunchuan Qin , Xian-Bing Meng , Zhi-Zhong Liu

Portfolio allocation is crucial for investment companies. However, getting the best strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market is challenging. In this paper, we propose a novel Adaptive Deep Deterministic Reinforcement Learning scheme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Yuancheng Zhan , Xiao-Yang Liu

This paper considers online optimization for a system that performs a sequence of back-to-back tasks. Each task can be processed in one of multiple processing modes that affect the duration of the task, the reward earned, and an additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Michael J. Neely

We introduce Attention Free Transformer (AFT), an efficient variant of Transformers that eliminates the need for dot product self attention. In an AFT layer, the key and value are first combined with a set of learned position biases, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Shuangfei Zhai , Walter Talbott , Nitish Srivastava , Chen Huang , Hanlin Goh , Ruixiang Zhang , Josh Susskind

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

This study presents the implementation of a short-term forecasting system for price movements in exchange markets, using market depth data and a systematic procedure to enable a fully automated trading system. The case study focuses on the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Rui Gonçalves , Vitor Miguel Ribeiro , Roman Chertovskih , António Pedro Aguiar

Algorithmic trading or Financial robots have been conquering the stock markets with their ability to fathom complex statistical trading strategies. But with the recent development of deep learning technologies, these strategies are becoming…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Ashish Anil Pawar , Vishnureddy Prashant Muskawar , Ritesh Tiku

Stock portfolio optimization is the process of continuous reallocation of funds to a selection of stocks. This is a particularly well-suited problem for reinforcement learning, as daily rewards are compounding and objective functions may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 Charl Maree , Christian W. Omlin

Accurate transfer of information across multiple sectors to enhance model estimation is both significant and challenging in multi-sector portfolio optimization involving a large number of assets in different classes. Within the framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Qingliang Fan , Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang

We propose an adaptive sequential framework for testing two simple hypotheses that analytically ensures finite exposure to the less effective treatment. Our proposed procedure employs a likelihood ratio-driven adaptive allocation rule,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Sampurna Kundu , Jayant Jha , Subir Kumar Bhandari

The Probabilistic Transformer (PT) establishes that the Transformer's self-attention plus its feed-forward block is mathematically equivalent to Mean-Field Variational Inference (MFVI) on a Conditional Random Field (CRF). Under this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Zhangzhi Xiong , Haoyi Wu , You Wu , Shuqi Gu , Kan Ren , Kewei Tu

In this work, we introduce an innovative autoregressive model leveraging Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) architectures, tailored for fraud detection in payment systems. Our approach innovatively confronts token explosion and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Ze Yu Zhao , Zheng Zhu , Guilin Li , Wenhan Wang , Bo Wang

In the last few years, the financial advisory industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and robo-advisors. This phenomenon affects major financial services, including wealth management, employee savings plans, asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-21 Thibault Bourgeron , Edmond Lezmi , Thierry Roncalli

Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár

Abstract Meaning Representation parsing is a sentence-to-graph prediction task where target nodes are not explicitly aligned to sentence tokens. However, since graph nodes are semantically based on one or more sentence tokens, implicit…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Jiawei Zhou , Tahira Naseem , Ramón Fernandez Astudillo , Radu Florian