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Modern deep learning for asset allocation typically separates forecasting from optimization. We argue this creates a fundamental mismatch where minimizing prediction errors fails to yield robust portfolios. We propose the Signature Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yoontae Hwang , Stefan Zohren

Portfolio optimization is one of the most attentive fields that have been researched with machine learning approaches. Many researchers attempted to solve this problem using deep reinforcement learning due to its efficient inherence that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Tae Wan Kim , Matloob Khushi

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

We propose a data-driven Neural Network (NN) optimization framework to determine the optimal multi-period dynamic asset allocation strategy for outperforming a general stochastic target. We formulate the problem as an optimal stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Chendi Ni , Yuying Li , Peter Forsyth , Ray Carroll

Recognizing that asset markets generally exhibit shared informational characteristics, we develop a portfolio strategy based on transfer learning that leverages cross-market information to enhance the investment performance in the market of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Kexin Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

This study explores the use of Transformer-based models to predict both covariance and semi-covariance matrices for ETF portfolio optimization. Traditional portfolio optimization techniques often rely on static covariance estimates or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Jiahao Zhu , Hengzhi Wu

The primary objective of this research is to build a Momentum Transformer that is expected to outperform benchmark time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies. We extend the ideas introduced in the paper Trading with the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Max Mason , Waasi A Jagirdar , David Huang , Rahul Murugan

Understanding the dependencies among financial assets is critical for portfolio optimization. Traditional approaches based on correlation networks often fail to capture the nonlinear and directional relationships that exist in financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Riccardo De Blasis , Luca Galati , Filippo Petroni

In this paper we propose a novel application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to financial asset allocation. Our approach is deeply rooted in Stochastic Portfolio Theory (SPT), a stochastic analysis framework introduced by Robert Fernholz that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-06 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Alexander Vervuurt

Traditional risk-adjusted returns, such as the Treynor, Sharpe, Sortino, and Information ratios, have been pivotal in portfolio asset allocation, focusing on minimizing risk while maximizing profit. Nevertheless, these metrics often fail to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Ju-Hong Lee , Bayartsetseg Kalina , KwangTek Na

We develop a deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio optimization that combines a Dirichlet policy with cross-sectional attention mechanisms. The Dirichlet formulation ensures that portfolio weights are always feasible,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Pei Xue , Yuanchun Ye

Improvements in return forecast accuracy do not always lead to proportional improvements in portfolio decision quality, especially under realistic trading frictions and constraints. This paper adopts the Smart Predict--then--Optimize (SPO)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Wang Yi , Takashi Hasuike

This paper studies deep learning methodologies for portfolio optimization in the US equities market. We present a novel residual switching network that can automatically sense changes in market regimes and switch between momentum and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Jifei Wang , Lingjing Wang

This paper proposes an innovative Transformer model, Single-directional representative from Transformer (SERT), for US large capital stock pricing. It also innovatively applies the pre-trained Transformer models under the stock pricing and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-07 Shanyan Lai

This study proposes a regime-aware reinforcement learning framework for long-horizon portfolio optimization. Moving beyond traditional feedforward and GARCH-based models, we design realistic environments where agents dynamically reallocate…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Gabriel Nixon Raj

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We introduce the Momentum Transformer, an attention-based deep-learning architecture, which outperforms benchmark time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies. Unlike state-of-the-art Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Kieran Wood , Sven Giegerich , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

Cryptocurrency markets exhibit pronounced momentum effects and regime-dependent volatility, presenting both opportunities and challenges for systematic trading strategies. We propose AdaptiveTrend, a multi-component algorithmic trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Duc Bui , Thanh Nguyen

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) prescribes how to maximise the return of an asset portfolio for a given level of risk. The optimal trade-off between return and variance defines the efficient frontier. Whether actual cryptoasset portfolios…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Ivan Vynyavskyy , Stefan Kitzler , Bernhard Haslhofer , Aviv Yaish
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