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More than ever COVID-19 is putting pressure on health systems all around the world, especially in Brazil. In this study we propose an analytical approach based on statistics and machine learning that uses lab exam data coming from patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Vitor Bezzan , Cleber D. Rocco

This paper seeks to study the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic based on daily published data from Worldometer website, using a time-dependent SIR model. Our findings indicate that this model fits well such data, for different chosen…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-28 Rawan H. Madi , Sophie M. Moufawad , Nabil R. Nassif

Coronavirus (covid 19) is one of the most dangerous viruses that have spread all over the world. With the increasing number of cases infected with the coronavirus, it has become necessary to address this epidemic by all available means.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Hakim El Massari , Noreddine Gherabi , Sajida Mhammedi , Hamza Ghandi , Fatima Qanouni , Mohamed Bahaj

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) spread forecasting is an important task to track the growth of the pandemic. Existing predictions are merely based on qualitative analyses and mathematical modeling. The use of available big data with machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Novanto Yudistira

This work provides an overview on deterministic and stochastic models that have previously been proposed by us to study the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Europe and USA. Briefly, we describe realistic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-11 Giorgio Sonnino , Philippe Peeters , Pasquale Nardone

Public health officials dealing with pandemics like COVID-19 have to evaluate and prepare response plans. This planning phase requires not only looking into the spatiotemporal dynamics and impact of the pandemic using simulation models, but…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Shehzad Afzal , Sohaib Ghani , Hank C. Jenkins-Smith , David S. Ebert , Markus Hadwiger , Ibrahim Hoteit

The infections and fatalities due to SARS-CoV-2 virus for cases specific to India have been studied using a deterministic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD) compartmental model. One of the most significant epidemiological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Vishwajeet Jha

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

A new coronavirus disease, called COVID-19, appeared in the Chinese region of Wuhan at the end of last year; since then the virus spread to other countries, including most of Europe. We propose a differential equation governing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-15 Giorgio Sonnino , Pasquale Nardone

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

COVID-19 has affected more than 223 countries worldwide and in the Post-COVID Era, there is a pressing need for non-invasive, low-cost, and highly scalable solutions to detect COVID-19. We develop a deep learning model to identify COVID-19…

Sound · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Yuyang Yan , Wafaa Aljbawi , Sami O. Simons , Visara Urovi

Since early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there has been interest in using artificial intelligence methods to predict COVID-19 infection status based on vocal audio signals, for example cough recordings. However,…

Purpose: This paper proposes a methodology and a computational tool to study the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world and to perform a trend analysis to assess its local dynamics. Methods: Mathematical functions are employed to describe…

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

The COVID-19 pandemic has magnified an already existing trend of people looking for healthcare solutions online. One class of solutions are symptom checkers, which have become very popular in the context of COVID-19. Traditional symptom…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Anitha Kannan , Richard Chen , Vignesh Venkataraman , Geoffrey J. Tso , Xavier Amatriain

We propose an SEIR-type meta-population model to simulate and monitor the Covid-19 epidemic evolution. The basic model consists of seven compartments, namely susceptible (S), exposed (E), three infective classes, recovered (R), and deceased…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Vinicius V. L. Albani , Roberto M. Velho , Jorge P. Zubelli

The present article studies the extension of two deterministic models for describing the novel coronavirus pandemic crisis, the SIR model and the SEIR model. The models were studied and compared to real data in order to support the validity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-05 P. H. P. Cintra , M. F. Citeli , F. N. Fontinele

Determinants of COVID-19 clinical severity are commonly assessed by transverse or longitudinal studies of the fatality counts. However, the fatality counts depend both on disease clinical severity and transmissibility, as more infected also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

Modern Bayesian approaches and workflows emphasize in how simulation is important in the context of model developing. Simulation can help researchers understand how the model behaves in a controlled setting and can be used to stress the…

During the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic, several research areas joined efforts to mitigate the damages caused by SARS-CoV-2. In this paper we present an interpretability analysis of a convolutional neural network based model for COVID-19…