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Smoldering combustion plays a key role in wildfires in forests, grasslands, and peatlands due to its common occurrence in porous fuels like peat and duff. As a consequence, understanding smoldering behavior in these fuels is crucial. Such…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-09 W. Jayani Jayasuriya , Tejas Chandrashekhar Mulky , Kyle E. Niemeyer

Fuel moisture content (FMC) is a key predictor for wildfire rate of spread (ROS). Machine learning models of FMC are being used more in recent years, augmenting or replacing traditional physics-based approaches. Wildfire rate of spread…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Jonathon Hirschi

Global warming accelerates permafrost degradation, impacting the reliability of critical infrastructure used by more than five million people daily. Furthermore, permafrost thaw produces substantial methane emissions, further accelerating…

In this paper, we assess and develop a climate service focused on the production of seasonal predictions for summer wildfires in a Mediterranean region through a participatory approach with end-users. We start by building a data-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-06 Marco Turco , Raul Marcos-Matamoros , Xavier Castro , Esteve Canyameras , Maria Carmen Llasat

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

Wildfires are increasing in intensity and severity at an alarming rate. Recent advances in AI and publicly available satellite data enable monitoring critical wildfire risk factors globally, at high resolution and low latency. Live Fuel…

High-pressure combustion is central to modern propulsion and power-generation systems, where operating pressures often exceed the critical point of working fluids, resulting in pronounced real-fluid effects that fundamentally alter…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-09 Ting Zhang , Tianzhou Jiang , Mingrui Wang , Hongjie Zhang , Ruoyue Tang , Xinrui Ren , Song Cheng

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Energy system models have become indispensable tools for planning future energy systems by providing insights into different development trajectories. However, sustainable systems with high shares of renewable energy are characterized by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-08-27 Simon Hilpert , Cord Kaldemeyer , Uwe Krien , Stefan Günther , Clemens Wingenbach , Guido Plessmann

Wildland fire smoke contains hazardous levels of fine particulate matter PM2.5, a pollutant shown to adversely effect health. Estimating fire attributable PM2.5 concentrations is key to quantifying the impact on air quality and subsequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Alexandra Larsen , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich , Ana G. Rappold

This paper addresses the problem of predicting the energy consumption for the drivers of Battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Several external factors (e.g., weather) are shown to have huge impacts on the energy consumption of a vehicle…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Yu-Wen Huang , Christian Prehofer , William Lindskog , Ron Puts , Pietro Mosca , Göran Kauermann

Large fires can inject smoke into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Detailed fire simulations allow for assessment of how local weather interacts with these fires and affects smoke lofting. In this study, we employ the fire…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-09 Stephanie Redfern , Julie K. Lundquist , Owen B. Toon , Domingo Muñoz-Esparza , Charles G. Bardeen , Branko Kosović

We introduce a simple mathematical model for bushfires accounting for temperature diffusion in the presence of a combustion term which is activated above a given ignition state. The model also takes into consideration the effect of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci , Glen Wheeler , Valentina-Mira Wheeler

Observational data collected during experiments, such as the planned Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE), are critical for progressing and transitioning coupled fire-atmosphere models like WRF-SFIRE and WRF-SFIRE-CHEM into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-31 Adam K. Kochanski , Aimé Fournier , Jan Mandel

With the increased size and frequency of wildfire eventsworldwide, accurate real-time prediction of evolving wildfirefronts is a crucial component of firefighting efforts and for-est management practices. We propose a wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Maxfield E. Green , Karl Kaiser , Nat Shenton

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

The real-time prediction of NOx emissions is of great significance for pollutant emission control and unit operation of coal-fired power plants. Aiming at dealing with the large time delay and strong nonlinear characteristics of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Zhenhao Tang , Deyu Zhu , Yang Li

Advancements in intelligent technologies have significantly improved navigation in complex traffic environments by enhancing environment perception and trajectory prediction for automated vehicles. However, current research often overlooks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Pei Liu , Haipeng Liu , Xingyu Liu , Yiqun Li , Junlan Chen , Yangfan He , Jun Ma

Thermal spray coating is a critical process in many industries, involving the application of coatings to surfaces to enhance their functionality. This paper proposes a framework for modelling and predicting critical target variables in…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-29 Wolfgang Rannetbauer , Simon Hubmer , Carina Hambrock , Ronny Ramlau

We present an overview of a modeling environment, consisting of a coupled atmosphere-wildfire model, utilities for visualization, data processing, and diagnostics, open source software repositories, and a community wiki. The fire model,…