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It is a grand challenge to find a feasible weather modification method to mitigate the impact of extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. Previous works have proposed potentially effective actuators and assessed their capabilities…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-15 Yohei Sawada

This paper uses a probabilistic approach to analyze the converge of an ensemble Kalman filter solution to an exact Kalman filter solution in the simplest possible setting, the scalar case, as it allows us to build upon a rich literature of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

The intersection between classical data assimilation methods and novel machine learning techniques has attracted significant interest in recent years. Here we explore another promising solution in which diffusion models are used to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Siming Liang , Guannan Zhang , Jeffrey S. Whitaker

This work studies the state estimation problem of a stochastic nonlinear system with unknown sensor measurement losses. If the estimator knows the sensor measurement losses of a linear Gaussian system, the minimum variance estimate is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Jiaqi Zhang , Keyou You , Lihua Xie

Among the class of nonlinear particle filtering methods, the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has gained recent attention for its use in solving inverse problems. We review the original method and discuss recent developments in particular in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini , Giuseppe Visconti

Accurate structural response prediction forms a main driver for structural health monitoring and control applications. This often requires the proposed model to adequately capture the underlying dynamics of complex structural systems. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Wei Liu , Zhilu Lai , Kiran Bacsa , Eleni Chatzi

This work embeds a multilevel Monte Carlo sampling strategy into the Monte Carlo step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) in the setting of finite dimensional signal evolution and noisy discrete-time observations. The signal dynamics is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Håkon Hoel , Kody J. H. Law , Raul Tempone

We study the use of novel techniques arising in machine learning for inverse problems. Our approach replaces the complex forward model by a neural network, which is trained simultaneously in a one-shot sense when estimating the unknown…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Philipp A. Guth , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

Data-driven modelling techniques provide a method for deriving models of dynamical systems directly from complicated data streams. However, tracking and forecasting such data streams poses a significant challenge to most methods, as they…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

The Ensemble Kalman filter assumes the observations to be Gaussian random variables with a pre-specified mean and variance. In practice, observations may also have detection limits, for instance when a gauge has a minimum or maximum value.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Abhishek Shah , Mohamad El Gharamti , Laurent Bertino

Legged robots require knowledge of pose and velocity in order to maintain stability and execute walking paths. Current solutions either rely on vision data, which is susceptible to environmental and lighting conditions, or fusion of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Ross Hartley , Maani Ghaffari , Ryan M. Eustice , Jessy W. Grizzle

In this paper, we study efficient approximate sampling for probability distributions known up to normalization constants. We specifically focus on a problem class arising in Bayesian inference for large-scale inverse problems in science and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Biomolecular systems are often modeled with partially known nonlinear stochastic dynamics, making state and parameter estimation a central challenge. While Kalman filtering techniques are widely used in this setting, their performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Suryasnata Dash , Abhishek Dey

Attitude estimation is crucial in aerospace engineering, robotics, and virtual reality applications, but faces difficulties due to nonlinear system dynamics and sensor limitations. This paper addresses the challenge of attitude estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Yash Pandey , Rahul Bhattacharyya , Yatindra Nath Singh

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

Ensemble methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), and the ensemble Kalman smoother (EnKS) are widely used in sequential data assimilation, where state vectors are of huge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-03 El houcine Bergou , Serge Gratton , Jan Mandel

This article presents an up-to-date tutorial review of nonlinear Bayesian estimation. State estimation for nonlinear systems has been a challenge encountered in a wide range of engineering fields, attracting decades of research effort. To…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Huazhen Fang , Ning Tian , Yebin Wang , MengChu Zhou , Mulugeta A. Haile

To date most linear and nonlinear Kalman filters (KFs) have been developed under the Gaussian assumption and the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion. In order to improve the robustness with respect to impulsive (or…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Badong Chen , Lujuan Dang , Yuantao Gu , Nanning Zheng , Jose C. Prıncipe

In the geophysical joint inversion, the gradient and Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling-based methods are widely used owing to their fast convergences or global optimality. However, these methods either require the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-08-04 Longlong Wang , Yun Chen , Youshan Liu , Nanqiao Du , Wei Li , Junliu Suwen