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Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

This paper extends some prominent statistical results including \emph{Fisher Theorem and Wilks phenomenon} to the penalized maximum likelihood estimation with a quadratic penalization. It appears that sharp expansions for the penalized MLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-11 Vladimir Spokoiny

Locally interpretable model agnostic explanations (LIME) method is one of the most popular methods used to explain black-box models at a per example level. Although many variants have been proposed, few provide a simple way to produce high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Amit Dhurandhar , Karthikeyan Ramamurthy , Kartik Ahuja , Vijay Arya

Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

We revisit the problem of mean estimation in the Gaussian sequence model with $\ell_p$ constraints for $p \in [0, \infty]$. We demonstrate two phenomena for the behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which depend on the noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Reese Pathak , Annie Ulichney

When a population exhibits heterogeneity, we often model it via a finite mixture: decompose it into several different but homogeneous subpopulations. Contemporary practice favors learning the mixtures by maximizing the likelihood for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Qiong Zhang , Jiahua Chen

A two-stage adaptive optimal design is an attractive option for increasing the efficiency of clinical trials. In these designs, based on interim data, the locally optimal dose is chosen for further exploration, which induces dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-24 Zhantao Lin , Nancy Flournoy , William F. Rosenberger

This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of parameter estimation for the Ewens--Pitman partition with parameters $0<\alpha<1$ and $\theta>-\alpha$. Especially, we show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of $\alpha$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Takuya Koriyama , Takeru Matsuda , Fumiyasu Komaki

This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

The likelihood function of a finite mixture model is a non-convex function with multiple local maxima and commonly used iterative algorithms such as EM will converge to different solutions depending on initial conditions. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Elad Mezuman , Yair Weiss

The asymptotic normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In the present paper, we provide sharp explicit upper bounds on Zolotarev-type distances between the exact, unknown distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Andreas Anastasiou , Christophe Ley

We consider two connected aspects of maximum likelihood estimation of the parameter for high-dimensional discrete graphical models: the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (mle) and its computation. When the data is sparse, there…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-22 Helene Massam , Nanwei Wang

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose improvements in numerical evaluation of symmetric stable density and its partial derivatives with respect to the parameters. They are useful for more reliable evaluation of maximum likelihood estimator and its standard error.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Muneya Matsui , Akimichi Takemura

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

To ensure high quality outputs, it is important to quantify the epistemic uncertainty of diffusion models. Existing methods are often unreliable because they mix epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We introduce a method based on Fisher…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Aditi Gupta , Raphael A. Meyer , Yotam Yaniv , Elynn Chen , N. Benjamin Erichson

Fisher's likelihood is widely used for statistical inference for fixed unknowns. This paper aims to extend two important likelihood-based methods, namely the maximum likelihood procedure for point estimation and the confidence procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee

We study nonparametric estimation for current status data with competing risks. Our main interest is in the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and for comparison we also consider a simpler ``naive estimator.'' Groeneboom,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-20 Piet Groeneboom , Marloes H. Maathuis , Jon A. Wellner