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It is common practice to combine deep neural networks into ensembles. These deep ensembles can benefit from the cancellation of errors effect: Errors by ensemble members may average out, leading to better generalization performance than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Nick Hauptvogel , Christian Igel

The constrained minimization (respectively maximization) of directed distances and of related generalized entropies is a fundamental task in information theory as well as in the adjacent fields of statistics, machine learning, artificial…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Michel Broniatowski , Wolfgang Stummer

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

The convergence of expectation-maximization (EM)-based algorithms typically requires continuity of the likelihood function with respect to all the unknown parameters (optimization variables). The requirement is not met when parameters…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-18 Geethu Joseph

Extracting meaning from uncertain, noisy data is a fundamental problem across time series analysis, pattern recognition, and language modeling. This survey presents a unified mathematical framework that connects classical estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Mohammed Elmusrati

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

Ensembles of independently trained neural networks are a state-of-the-art approach to estimate predictive uncertainty in Deep Learning, and can be interpreted as an approximation of the posterior distribution via a mixture of delta…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Aleksei Tiulpin , Matthew B. Blaschko

As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-26 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) enables rapid parameter inference for complex simulators with intractable likelihoods. NPE trains an inference network to estimate a probability density over parameters given data, typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jan Boelts , Cornelius Schröder , Jonas Beck , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler , Daniel Gedon

Ensembling deep learning models is a shortcut to promote its implementation in new scenarios, which can avoid tuning neural networks, losses and training algorithms from scratch. However, it is difficult to collect sufficient accurate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Jun Yang , Fei Wang

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Variational Auto-encoders (VAEs) have been very successful as methods for forming compressed latent representations of complex, often high-dimensional, data. In this paper, we derive an alternative variational lower bound from the one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-20 Shuyu Lin , Ronald Clark , Robert Birke , Niki Trigoni , Stephen Roberts

Ensemble learning combines multiple classifiers in the hope of obtaining better predictive performance. Empirical studies have shown that ensemble pruning, that is, choosing an appropriate subset of the available classifiers, can lead to…

Bayesian Deep Ensembles (BDEs) represent a powerful approach for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, combining the robustness of Deep Ensembles (DEs) with flexible multi-chain MCMC. While DEs are affordable in most deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Emanuel Sommer , Rickmer Schulte , Sarah Deubner , Julius Kobialka , David Rügamer

Sparse representations with learned dictionaries have been successful in several image analysis applications. In this paper, we propose and analyze the framework of ensemble sparse models, and demonstrate their utility in image restoration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Prasanna Sattigeri , Andreas Spanias

We propose an approach based on function evaluations and Bayesian inference to extract higher-order differential information of objective functions {from a given ensemble of particles}. Pointwise evaluation $\{V(x^i)\}_i$ of some potential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Claudia Schillings , Claudia Totzeck , Philipp Wacker

While ensembling deep neural networks has shown promise in improving generalization performance, scaling current ensemble methods for large models remains challenging. Given that recent progress in deep learning is largely driven by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Giung Nam , Juho Lee

Bayesian decision theory advocates the Bayes classifier as the optimal approach for minimizing the risk in machine learning problems. Current deep learning algorithms usually solve for the optimal classifier by \emph{implicitly} estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Chaoqun Du , Yulin Wang , Shiji Song , Gao Huang

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny
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