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A novel algorithm for computing the action of a matrix exponential over a vector is proposed. The algorithm is based on a multilevel Monte Carlo method, and the vector solution is computed probabilistically generating suitable random paths…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Juan A. Acebron , Jose R. Herrero , Jose Monteiro

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

We show that a large class of Estimation of Distribution Algorithms, including, but not limited to, Covariance Matrix Adaption, can be written as a Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization algorithm, and as exact EM in the limit of infinite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 David H. Brookes , Akosua Busia , Clara Fannjiang , Kevin Murphy , Jennifer Listgarten

Dose selection is critical in pharmaceutical drug development, as it directly impacts therapeutic efficacy and patient safety of a drug. The Generalized Multiple Comparison Procedures and Modeling (MCP-Mod) approach is commonly used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Lukas Pin , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Frank Bretz , Björn Bornkamp

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

For many applications in signal processing and machine learning, we are tasked with minimizing a large sum of convex functions subject to a large number of convex constraints. In this paper, we devise a new random projection method (RPM) to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Zhichun Yang , Fu-quan Xia , Kai Tu , Man-Chung Yue

Mixture of Experts (MoE) are successful models for modeling heterogeneous data in many statistical learning problems including regression, clustering and classification. Generally fitted by maximum likelihood estimation via the well-known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Bao-Tuyen Huynh

A new likelihood based AR approximation is given for ARMA models. The usual algorithms for the computation of the likelihood of an ARMA model require $O(n)$ flops per function evaluation. Using our new approximation, an algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 A. Ian McLeod , Ying Zhang

RBM-MPC is a computationally efficient variant of Model Predictive Control (MPC) in which the Random Batch Method (RBM) is used to speed up the finite-horizon optimal control problems at each iteration. In this paper, stability and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Daniël Veldman , Alexandra Borkowski , Enrique Zuazua

In this article, we present an event-driven algorithm that generalizes the recent hard-sphere event-chain Monte Carlo method without introducing discretizations in time or in space. A factorization of the Metropolis filter and the concept…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-10 Manon Michel , Sebastian C. Kapfer , Werner Krauth

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

We provide a general theory of the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for inferring high dimensional latent variable models. In particular, we make two contributions: (i) For parameter estimation, we propose a novel high dimensional EM…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-28 Zhaoran Wang , Quanquan Gu , Yang Ning , Han Liu

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for estimating parameters of statistical models. However, EM, which is an iterative algorithm based on the maximum likelihood principle, is generally only guaranteed to find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu , Arian Maleki

The order of convergence of the Monte Carlo method is 1/2 which means that we need quadruple samples to decrease the error in half in the numerical simulation. Multilevel Monte Carlo methods reach the same order of error by spending less…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Myoungnyoun Kim , Imbo Sim

Computing maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation in graphical models is an important inference problem with many applications. We present message-passing algorithms for quadratic programming (QP) formulations of MAP estimation for pairwise…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Akshat Kumar , Shlomo Zilberstein

We propose a multi-index algorithm for the Monte Carlo (MC) discretization of a linear, elliptic PDE with affine-parametric input. We prove an error vs. work analysis which allows a multi-level finite-element approximation in the physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Josef Dick , Michael Feischl , Christoph Schwab

This paper addresses the problem of learning the impulse responses characterizing forward models by means of a regularized kernel-based Prediction Error Method (PEM). The common approach to accomplish that is to approximate the system with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Giulio Fattore , Marco Peruzzo , Giacomo Sartori , Mattia Zorzi

Single-particle imaging with X-ray free-electron lasers depends crucially on algorithms that merge large numbers of weak diffraction patterns despite missing measurements of parameters such as particle orientations. The…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-24 B. R. Mobley , K. E. Schmidt , J. P. Chen , R. A. Kirian