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We present a scheme to obtain an inexpensive and reliable estimate of the uncertainty associated with the predictions of a machine-learning model of atomic and molecular properties. The scheme is based on resampling, with multiple models…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-06 Felix Musil , Michael J. Willatt , Mikhail A. Langovoy , Michele Ceriotti

In this paper, we propose a novel sequential data-driven method for dealing with equilibrium based chemical simulations, which can be seen as a specific machine learning approach called active learning. The underlying idea of our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-26 Mary Savino , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Marc Leconte , Benoit Cochepin

In this paper, we propose a data based transformation for infinite-dimensional Gaussian processes and derive its limit theorem. For a classification problem, this transformation induces complete separation among the associated Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Subhajit Dutta

Accurately modeling chemical reactions at the atomistic level requires high-level electronic structure theory due to the presence of unpaired electrons and the need to properly describe bond breaking and making energetics. Commonly used…

In an era where scientific experimentation is often costly, multi-fidelity emulation provides a powerful tool for predictive scientific computing. While there has been notable work on multi-fidelity modeling, existing models do not…

Devising optimal operating strategies for a compressor station relies on the knowledge of compressor characteristics. As the compressor characteristics change with time and use, it is necessary to provide accurate models of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Akhil Ahmed , Marta Zagorowska , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Mehmet Mercangöz

Machine learning has promised to change the landscape of laboratory chemistry, with impressive results in molecular property prediction and reaction retro-synthesis. However, chemical datasets are often inaccessible to the machine learning…

Conformal prediction aims to determine precise levels of confidence in predictions for new objects using past experience. However, the commonly used exchangeable assumptions between the training data and testing data limit its usage in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Youhui Ye , Meimei Liu , Xin Xing

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

In this paper, we explore the potential of generative machine learning models as an alternative to the computationally expensive Monte Carlo (MC) simulations commonly used by the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) experiments. Our objective is to…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-11-21 Allison Xu , Shuo Han , Xiangyang Ju , Haichen Wang

We describe a novel end-to-end approach using Machine Learning to reconstruct the power spectrum of cosmological density perturbations at high redshift from observed quasar spectra. State-of-the-art cosmological simulations of structure…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-21 Maria Han Veiga , Xi Meng , Oleg Y. Gnedin , Nickolay Y. Gnedin , Xun Huan

Developing machine learning (ML) models for yield prediction of chemical reactions has emerged as an important use case scenario in very recent years. In this space, reaction datasets present a range of challenges mostly stemming from…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-02-28 Supratim Ghosh , Nupur Jain , Raghavan B. Sunoj

This paper introduces algorithms to select/design kernels in Gaussian process regression/kriging surrogate modeling techniques. We adopt the setting of kernel method solutions in ad hoc functional spaces, namely Reproducing Kernel Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jean-Luc Akian , Luc Bonnet , Houman Owhadi , Éric Savin

The thermal conductivity of organic liquids is a vital parameter influencing various industrial and environmental applications, including energy conversion, electronics cooling, and chemical processing. However, atomistic simulation of…

Accurate simulations of molecules require high-level electronic-structure theory in combination with rigorous methods for approximating the quantum dynamics. Machine-learning approaches can significantly reduce the computational expense of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-02-24 Valerii Andreichev , Jindra Dušek , Markus Meuwly , Jeremy O. Richardson

Gaussian processes are used in machine learning to learn input-output mappings from observed data. Gaussian process regression is based on imposing a Gaussian process prior on the unknown regressor function and statistically conditioning it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-16 Simo Särkkä

Reactive flows in porous media play an important role in our life and are crucial for many industrial, environmental and biomedical applications. Very often the concentration of the species at the inlet is known, and the so-called…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-13 Daria Fokina , Pavel Toktaliev , Oleg Iliev , Ivan Oseledets

Fully-convolutional neural networks (FCN) were proven to be effective for predicting the instantaneous state of a fully-developed turbulent flow at different wall-normal locations using quantities measured at the wall. In Guastoni et al.…

In this paper, we develop a machine learning-based Bayesian approach to inversely quantify and reduce the uncertainties of the two-fluid model-based multiphase computational fluid dynamics (MCFD) for bubbly flow simulations. The proposed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-22 Yang Liu , Dewei Wang , Xiaodong Sun , Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Rui Hu