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In this work, we investigate Gaussian process regression used to recover a function based on noisy observations. We derive upper and lower error bounds for Gaussian process regression with possibly misspecified correlation functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Wenjia Wang , Bing-Yi Jing

The ab initio calculation of exact quantum reaction rate constants comes at a high cost due to the required dynamics of reactants on multidimensional potential energy surfaces. In turn, this impedes the rapid design of the kinetics for…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-09-23 Evan Komp , Stéphanie Valleau

For a theoretical understanding of the reactivity of complex chemical systems, relative energies of stationary points on potential energy hypersurfaces need to be calculated to high accuracy. Due to the large number of intermediates present…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-10-30 Gregor N. Simm , Markus Reiher

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

Simulation of surface processes is a key part of computational chemistry that offers atomic-scale insights into mechanisms of heterogeneous catalysis, diffusion dynamics, as well as quantum tunneling phenomena. The most common theoretical…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-05-01 Wei Fang , Yu-Cheng Zhu , Yi-Han Cheng , Yi-Ping Hao , Jeremy O. Richardson

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Wenjia Wang

Critical heat flux is a key quantity in boiling system modeling due to its impact on heat transfer and component temperature and performance. This study investigates the development and validation of an uncertainty-aware hybrid modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Aidan Furlong , Xingang Zhao , Robert Salko , Xu Wu

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Quantum computers have the opportunity to be transformative for a variety of computational tasks. Recently, there have been proposals to use the unsimulatably of large quantum devices to perform regression, classification, and other machine…

A set of probabilities along with corresponding quantiles are often used to define predictive distributions or probabilistic forecasts. These quantile predictions offer easily interpreted uncertainty of an event, and quantiles are generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Spencer Wadsworth , Jarad Niemi

In this paper, a quantum algorithm based on gaussian process regression model is proposed. The proposed quantum algorithm consists of three sub-algorithms. One is the first quantum subalgorithm to efficiently generate mean predictor. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-20 Menghan Chen , Gongde Guo , Song Lin , Jing Li

This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ahmadreza Chokhachian , Matthias Katzfuss , Yu Ding

Gaussian Process Regression is a well-known machine learning technique for which several quantum algorithms have been proposed. We show here that in a wide range of scenarios these algorithms show no exponential speedup. We achieve this by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Dominic Lowe , M. S. Kim , Roberto Bondesan

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Flow models are a cornerstone of modern machine learning. They are generative models that progressively transform probability distributions according to learned dynamics. Specifically, they learn a continuous-time Markov process that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-10 David Layden , Ryan Sweke , Vojtěch Havlíček , Anirban Chowdhury , Kirill Neklyudov

We have generated an open-source dataset of over 30000 organic chemistry gas phase partition functions. With this data, a machine learning deep neural network estimator was trained to predict partition functions of unknown organic chemistry…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-03-08 Evan Komp , Stéphanie Valleau

Fitting experiment data onto a curve is a common signal processing technique to extract data features and establish the relationship between variables. Often, we expect the curve to comply with some analytical function and then turn data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Kai Wu , J. Andrew Zhang , Y. Jay Guo
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