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The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura

Unmeasured, spatially-structured factors can confound associations between spatial environmental exposures and health outcomes. Adding flexible splines to a regression model is a simple approach for spatial confounding adjustment, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-22 Joshua P. Keller , Adam A. Szpiro

Statistical models for landslide hazard enable mapping of risk factors and landslide occurrence intensity by using geomorphological covariates available at high spatial resolution. However, the spatial distribution of the triggering event…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Thomas Opitz , Haakon Bakka , Raphaël Huser , Luigi Lombardo

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

There is growing recognition in both the experimental and modelling literature of the importance of spatial structure to the dynamics of viral infections in tissues. Aided by the evolution of computing power and motivated by recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Thomas Williams , James M. McCaw , James M. Osborne

Understanding and predicting human migration patterns is a central challenge in population dynamics research. Traditional physics-inspired gravity and radiation models represent migration flows as functions of attractiveness using…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-03 Aric Cutuli , Upmanu Lall , Michael J. Puma , Émile Esmaili , Rachata Muneepeerakul

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

A discrete spatial lattice can be cast as a network structure over which spatially-correlated outcomes are observed. A second network structure may also capture similarities among measured features, when such information is available.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Arjun Sondhi , Si Cheng , Ali Shojaie

We investigate the molecular gene expressions studies and public databases for disease modelling using Probabilistic Graphical Models and Bayesian Inference. A case study on Spinal Muscle Atrophy Genome-Wide Association Study results is…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Mohammed Ezzat Helal , Manal Ezzat Helal , Sherif Fadel Fahmy

Analyzing and understanding the structure of complex relational data is important in many applications including analysis of the connectivity in the human brain. Such networks can have prominent patterns on different scales, calling for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-22 Mikkel N. Schmidt , Tue Herlau , Morten Mørup

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

We investigate the spatial dynamics of two disease epidemics reaching a three-species cyclic model. Regardless of their species, all individuals are susceptible to being infected with two different pathogens, which spread through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-05 J. Menezes , E. Rangel

When modelling HIV epidemics, it is important to incorporate set-point viral load and its heritability. As set-point viral load distributions can differ significantly amongst epidemics, it is imperative to account for the observed local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-28 Pieter Libin , Laurens Hernalsteen , Kristof Theys , Perpetua Gomes , Ana Abecasis , Ann Nowe

Estimating dependence relationships between variables is a crucial issue in many applied domains, such as medicine, social sciences and psychology. When several variables are entertained, these can be organized into a network which encodes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-01 Federico Castelletti

The characteristics and determinants of health and disease are often organised in space, reflecting our spatially extended nature. Understanding the influence of such factors requires models capable of capturing spatial relations. Though a…

We consider the problem of inferring the values of an arbitrary set of variables (e.g., risk of diseases) given other observed variables (e.g., symptoms and diagnosed diseases) and high-dimensional signals (e.g., MRI images or EEG). This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Hao Wang , Chengzhi Mao , Hao He , Mingmin Zhao , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Dina Katabi

The study of infectious disease epidemiology for multi-type disease pathogens requires modelling techniques that account for the complex interactions existing between strains across geography and time. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Matthew Adeoye , Simon E. F. Spencer , Xavier Didelot

We present an extension of the functional data analysis framework for univariate functions to the analysis of surfaces: functions of two variables. The spatial spline regression (SSR) approach developed can be used to model surfaces that…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-17 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Ian A. Wood

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa