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Related papers: Rashomon Capacity: A Metric for Predictive Multipl…

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Predictive multiplicity refers to the phenomenon in which classification tasks may admit multiple competing models that achieve almost-equally-optimal performance, yet generate conflicting outputs for individual samples. This presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Hsiang Hsu , Guihong Li , Shaohan Hu , Chun-Fu , Chen

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

The existence of multiple, equally accurate models for a given predictive task leads to predictive multiplicity, where a ``Rashomon set'' of models achieve similar accuracy but diverges in their individual predictions. This inconsistency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Parian Haghighat , Hadis Anahideh , Cynthia Rudin

Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Charles T. Marx , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Berk Ustun

Predictive models may generate biased predictions when classifying imbalanced datasets. This happens when the model favors the majority class, leading to low performance in accurately predicting the minority class. To address this issue,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

The Rashomon effect presents a significant challenge in model selection. It occurs when multiple models achieve similar performance on a dataset but produce different predictions, resulting in predictive multiplicity. This is especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Mustafa Cavus , Przemyslaw Biecek

When selecting a model from a set of equally performant models, how much unfairness can you really reduce? Is it important to be intentional about fairness when choosing among this set, or is arbitrarily choosing among the set of ''good''…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Gordon Dai , Pavan Ravishankar , Rachel Yuan , Daniel B. Neill , Emily Black

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes environments, ensuring both probabilistic reliability and prediction stability has become critical. This paper examines the interplay between classification calibration and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Mustafa Cavus

The Rashomon effect describes the phenomenon where multiple models trained on the same data produce identical predictions while differing in which features they rely on internally. This effect has been studied extensively in classification…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Dennis Gross , Jørn Eirik Betten , Helge Spieker

The Rashomon effect -- the existence of multiple, distinct models that achieve nearly equivalent predictive performance -- has emerged as a fundamental phenomenon in modern machine learning and statistics. In this paper, we explore the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Harsh Parikh

Prediction models have been widely adopted as the basis for decision-making in domains as diverse as employment, education, lending, and health. Yet, few real world problems readily present themselves as precisely formulated prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , Solon Barocas , Jake M. Hofman , Alexandra Chouldechova

The Rashomon set of equally-good models promises less discriminatory algorithms, reduced outcome homogenization, and fairer decisions through model ensembles or reconciliation. However, we argue from the perspective of allocation…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Shomik Jain , Margaret Wang , Kathleen Creel , Ashia Wilson

Algorithmic risk assessments are used to inform decisions in a wide variety of high-stakes settings. Often multiple predictive models deliver similar overall performance but differ markedly in their predictions for individual cases, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Amanda Coston , Ashesh Rambachan , Alexandra Chouldechova

The Rashomon Effect describes the following phenomenon: for a given dataset there may exist many models with equally good performance but with different solution strategies. The Rashomon Effect has implications for Explainable Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Sebastian Müller , Vanessa Toborek , Katharina Beckh , Matthias Jakobs , Christian Bauckhage , Pascal Welke

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock

Creating models from past observations and ensuring their effectiveness on new data is the essence of machine learning. However, selecting models that generalize well remains a challenging task. Related to this topic, the Rashomon Effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Model multiplicity refers to the existence of multiple machine learning models that describe the data equally well but may produce different predictions on individual samples. In medicine, these models can admit conflicting predictions for…

In many applications, especially those involving prediction, models may yield near-optimal performance yet significantly disagree on individual-level outcomes. This phenomenon, known as predictive multiplicity, has been formally defined in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Mustafa Cavus

Deep learning models have proven to be highly successful. Yet, their over-parameterization gives rise to model multiplicity, a phenomenon in which multiple models achieve similar performance but exhibit distinct underlying behaviours. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Prakhar Ganesh

Issues can arise when research focused on fairness, transparency, or safety is conducted separately from research driven by practical deployment concerns and vice versa. This separation creates a growing need for translational work that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Alexander D'Amour , Carol Long , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun
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