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Clinical decision-making is a feedback system where risk estimates influence treatment, which in turn changes disease trajectories, and both shape clinicians' measurement practices. Static prediction often fails clinically: models trained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Pujun Feng , Xiaoyu Guo , Seyed Ehsan Saffari , Min Hun Lee , Siew-Kei Lam , Erik Cambria , Xibin Sun , Yangtao Zhou , Tong Yang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Tao Tan , Yue Sun , Bin Cui

In this paper, we present a Distributionally Robust Markov Decision Process (DRMDP) approach for addressing the dynamic epidemic control problem. The Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model is widely used to represent the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Jun Song , William Yang , Chaoyue Zhao

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

Repeated decision-making problems under uncertainty may arise in the health policy context, such as infectious disease control for COVID-19 and other epidemics. These problems may sometimes be effectively solved using Markov decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Suyanpeng Zhang , Sze-chuan Suen

We present a deep learning-based approach to studying dynamic clinical behavioral regimes in diverse non-randomized healthcare settings. Our proposed methodology - deep causal behavioral policy learning (DC-BPL) - uses deep learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-06 Jonas Knecht , Anna Zink , Jonathan Kolstad , Maya Petersen

Understanding the latent processes from Electronic Medical Records could be a game changer in modern healthcare. However, the processes are complex due to the interaction between at least three dynamic components: the illness, the care and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Phuoc Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh

Health registers contain rich information about individuals' health histories. Here our interest lies in understanding how individuals' health trajectories evolve in a nationwide longitudinal dataset with coded features, such as clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Hans Moen , Vishnu Raj , Andrius Vabalas , Markus Perola , Samuel Kaski , Andrea Ganna , Pekka Marttinen

Disease progression modeling provides a robust framework to identify long-term disease trajectories from short-term biomarker data. It is a valuable tool to gain a deeper understanding of diseases with a long disease trajectory, such as…

We develop a conservative continuous-time stochastic control framework for treatment optimization from irregularly sampled patient trajectories. The unknown patient dynamics are modeled as a controlled stochastic differential equation with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Nora Schneider , Georg Manten , Niki Kilbertus

Discovering non-linear dynamical models from data is at the core of science. Recent progress hinges upon sparse regression of observables using extensive libraries of candidate functions. However, it remains challenging to model hidden…

This study introduces a pioneering Dynamic Hypergraph Networks (DHCE) model designed to predict future medical diagnoses from electronic health records with enhanced accuracy. The DHCE model innovates by identifying and differentiating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Wangying Yang , Zitao Zheng , Zhizhong Wu , Bo Zhang , Yuanfang Yang

Cancer evolves continuously over time through a complex interplay of genetic, epigenetic, microenvironmental, and phenotypic changes. This dynamic behavior drives uncontrolled cell growth, metastasis, immune evasion, and therapy resistance,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Luoting Zhuang , Stephen H. Park , Steven J. Skates , Ashley E. Prosper , Denise R. Aberle , William Hsu

Many diseases display heterogeneity in clinical features and their progression, indicative of the existence of disease subtypes. Extracting patterns of disease variable progression for subtypes has tremendous application in medicine, for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-04 Sanjukta Krishnagopal

Predicting disease trajectories from electronic health records (EHRs) is a complex task due to major challenges such as data non-stationarity, high granularity of medical codes, and integration of multimodal data. EHRs contain both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Sifal Klioui , Sana Sellami , Youssef Trardi

Treatment of cancer involves heterogeneous, complex care pathways. The relationship between these longitudinal trajectories, baseline mental health, and prognostic outcomes remains poorly understood. We introduce an interpretable…

Modeling disease progression through multiple stages is critical for clinical decision-making for chronic diseases, e.g., cancer, diabetes, chronic kidney diseases, and so on. Existing approaches often model the disease progression as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Haoyu Yang , Sanjoy Dey , Pablo Meyer

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are commonly used in longitudinal studies to forecast disease trajectories over time. While there are many advantages to joint modeling, the standard forms suffer from limitations that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-09 Bryan Lim , Mihaela van der Schaar

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

Biomarker measurements obtained by blood sampling are often used as a non-invasive means of monitoring tumour progression in cancer patients. Diseases evolve dynamically over time, and studying longitudinal observations of specific…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta , Amélie Vernay

Early disease detection and prevention methods based on effective interventions are gaining attention. Machine learning technology has enabled precise disease prediction by capturing individual differences in multivariate data. Progress in…