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The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras

Limit behaviour of temporal and contemporaneous aggregations of independent copies of a stationary multitype Galton-Watson branching process with immigration is studied in the so-called iterated and simultaneous cases, respectively. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

Reinforced Galton-Watson processes have been introduced in arxiv:2306.02476 as population models with non-overlapping generations, such that reproduction events along genealogical lines can be repeated at random. We investigate here some of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

We consider a multitype Galton-Watson process that allows for the mutation and reversion of individual types in discrete and continuous time. In this setting, we explicitly compute the time evolution of quantities such as the mean and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-01 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Gaussian graphical models can capture complex dependency structures among variables. For such models, Bayesian inference is attractive as it provides principled ways to incorporate prior information and to quantify uncertainty through the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-05 Willem van den Boom , Alexandros Beskos , Maria De Iorio

We study the iterated Galton-Watson process (IGW), possibly with thinning, introduced by Gawe{\l}and Kimmel to model the number of repeats of DNA triplets during some genetic disorders. If the process involves some thinning, then extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

Invariant Galton-Watson (IGW) tree measures is a one-parameter family of critical Galton-Watson measures invariant with respect to a large class of tree reduction operations. Such operations include the generalized dynamical pruning (also…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Guochen Xu , Ilya Zaliapin

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

A second-order Galton-Watson process with immigration can be represented as a coordinate process of a 2-type Galton-Watson process with immigration. Sufficient conditions are derived on the offspring and immigration distributions of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Matyas Barczy , Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a critical decomposable 3-type Galton-Watson process with immigration when its offspring mean matrix is triangular with diagonal entries 1. It is proved that, under second or fourth order moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány

In this somewhat didactic note we give a detailed alternative proof of the known result due to Wei and Winnicki (1989) which states that under second order moment assumptions on the offspring and immigration distributions the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány , Gyula Pap

This paper develops the theory and methods for modeling a stationary count time series via Gaussian transformations. The techniques use a latent Gaussian process and a distributional transformation to construct stationary series with very…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Yisu Jia , Stefanos Kechagias , James Livsey , Robert Lund , Vladas Pipiras

We propose a new model for regression and dependence analysis when addressing spatial data with possibly heavy tails and an asymmetric marginal distribution. We first propose a stationary process with $t$ marginals obtained through scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , R. B. Arellano Valle , V. Morales-Onñate

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

Multi-type inhomogeneous Galton--Watson process with immigration is investigated, where the offspring mean matrix slowly converges to a critical mean matrix. Under general conditions we obtain limit distribution for the process, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-31 László Györfi , Márton Ispány , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap

We consider a Galton-Watson process with immigration $(\mathcal{Z}_n)$, with offspring probabilities $(p_i)$ and immigration probabilities $(q_i)$. In the case when $p_0=0$, $p_1\neq 0$, $q_0=0$ (that is, when $\text{essinf}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Nadia Sidorova

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have been successful in producing outstanding results in areas as diverse as image, video, and text generation. Building on these successes, a large number of empirical studies have validated the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Gérard Biau , Maxime Sangnier , Ugo Tanielian
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