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Stochastic differential equations characterized by uncertainty are effective in modelling virus dynamics and provide an alternative to traditional deterministic models. Epidemic models are inevitably subjected to the randomness within the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-12 Bishal Chhetri , B. V. Ratish Kumar

In this paper, we study dimension reduction techniques for large-scale controlled stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The drift of the considered SDEs contains a polynomial term satisfying a one-sided growth condition. Such…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Martin Redmann

We present a numerical algorithm that allows the approximation of optimal controls for stochastic reaction-diffusion equations with additive noise by first reducing the problem to controls of feedback form and then approximating the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wilhelm Stannat , Alexander Vogler , Lukas Wessels

The estimation of the probability of rare events is an important task in reliability and risk assessment. We consider failure events that are expressed in terms of a limit state function, which depends on the solution of a partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Fabian Wagner , Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We propose a method for the accurate estimation of rare event or failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate numerical models in high dimensions. The proposed approach combines ideas from large deviation theory and adaptive importance…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-28 Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler

We consider a stochastically perturbed reaction diffusion equation in a bounded interval, with boundary conditions imposing the two stable phases at the endpoints. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the front separating the two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-02-11 L. Bertini , S. Brassesco , P. Buttà

We present a multilevel stochastic gradient descent method for the optimal control of systems governed by partial differential equations under uncertain input data. The gradient descent method used to find the optimal control leverages a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Niklas Baumgarten , David Schneiderhan

We discuss importance sampling of exit problems that involve unbounded stopping times; examples are mean first passage times, transition rates or committor probabilities in molecular dynamics. The naive application of variance minimization…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Carsten Hartmann , Annika Jöster

In this paper, we develop an efficient numerical solver for unsteady diffusion-type partial differential equations with random coefficients. A major computational challenge in such problems lies in repeatedly handling large-scale linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Yujun Zhu , Min Li , Yulan Ning , Ju Ming

We study small random perturbations by additive white-noise of a spatial discretization of a reaction-diffusion equation with a stable equilibrium and solutions that blow up in finite time. We prove that the perturbed system blows up with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Pablo Groisman , Santiago Saglietti

We focus on solving constrained convex optimization problems using mini-batch stochastic gradient descent. Dynamic sample size rules are presented which ensure a descent direction with high probability. Empirical results from two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Michael R. Metel

A fully discrete finite difference scheme for stochastic reaction-diffusion equations driven by a $1+1$-dimensional white noise is studied. The optimal strong rate of convergence is proved without posing any regularity assumption on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Oleg Butkovsky , Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér

This paper considers importance sampling for estimation of rare-event probabilities in a specific collection of Markovian jump processes used for e.g. modelling of credit risk. Previous attempts at designing importance sampling algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Henrik Hult , Pierre Nyquist

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

A stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach is presented for discrete-time linear systems with arbitrary time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties and additive Gaussian process noise. Closed-loop stability of the SMPC approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Joel A. Paulson , Stefan Streif , Ali Mesbah

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

This paper investigates the two-dimensional stochastic steady-state Navier-Stokes(NS) equations with additive random noise. We introduce an innovative splitting method that decomposes the stochastic NS equations into a deterministic NS…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Jie Zhu , Yujun Zhu , Ju Ming , Max D. Gunzburger

Particle splitting methods are considered for the estimation of rare events. The probability of interest is that a Markov process first enters a set $B$ before another set $A$, and it is assumed that this probability satisfies a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-14 Thomas Dean , Paul Dupuis

Construction of splitting-step methods and properties of related non-negativity and boundary preserving numerical algorithms for solving stochastic differential equations (SDEs) of Ito-type are discussed. We present convergence proofs for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Esteban Moro , Henri Schurz

We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Grégoire Ferré , Hugo Touchette