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The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

High-dimensional count data poses significant challenges for statistical analysis, necessitating effective methods that also preserve explainability. We focus on a low rank constrained variant of the Poisson log-normal model, which relates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Bastien Batardière , Julien Chiquet , Joon Kwon , Julien Stoehr

The normalizing constant plays an important role in Bayesian computation, and there is a large literature on methods for computing or approximating normalizing constants that cannot be evaluated in closed form. When the normalizing constant…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-02 Yuling Yao , Collin Cademartori , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

The objective of this dissertation is to prove a scaling limit for the exit of a domain problem of a small noise system with underlying hyperbolic dynamics. In this case, Large Deviation kind of estimates fail to provide a complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-12 Sergio Angel Almada Monter

We consider split-step Milstein methods for the solution of stiff stochastic differential equations with an emphasis on systems driven by multi-channel noise. We show their strong order of convergence and investigate mean-square stability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-27 V. Reshniak , A. Q. M. Khaliq , D. A. Voss , G. Zhang

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

We consider noise-driven exit from a domain of attraction in a two-dimensional bistable system lacking detailed balance. Through analog and digital stochastic simulations, we find a theoretically predicted bifurcation of the most probable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 D. G. Luchinsky , R. S. Maier , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock , D. L. Stein

Stochastic gradient descent samples uniformly the training set to build an unbiased gradient estimate with a limited number of samples. However, at a given step of the training process, some data are more helpful than others to continue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Thibault Lahire

We prove a priori bounds for solutions of stochastic reaction diffusion equations with super-linear damping in the reaction term. These bounds provide a control on the supremum of solutions on any compact space-time set which only depends…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Augustin Moinat , Hendrik Weber

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

Even in large systems, the effect of noise arising from when populations are initially small can persist to be measurable on the macroscale. A deterministic approximation to a stochastic model will fail to capture this effect, but it can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Dylan Morris , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems. We prove consistency, asymptotic normality, and convergence of all scaled moments of an appropriately-constructed maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

This article presents a new numerical scheme for the discretization of dissipative particle dynamics with conserved energy. The key idea is to reduce elementary pairwise stochastic dynamics (either fluctuation/dissipation or thermal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-26 Gabriel Stoltz

Stochastic differential equation mixed-effects models (SDEMEMs) are flexible hierarchical models that are able to account for random variability inherent in the underlying time-dynamics, as well as the variability between experimental units…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-22 Samuel Wiqvist , Andrew Golightly , Ashleigh T. McLean , Umberto Picchini

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

We carry out a detailed numerical investigation of stochastic resonance in underdamped systems in the non-perturbative regime. We point out that an important distinction between stochastic resonance in overdamped and underdamped systems…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-11 Rajarshi Ray , Supratim Sengupta

We consider a slow passage through a point of loss of stability. If the passage is sufficiently slow, the dynamics are controlled by additive random disturbances, even if they are extremely small. We derive expressions for the `exit value'…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

The problem of noise-induced escape from a metastable state arises in physics, chemistry, biology, systems engineering, and other areas. The problem is well understood when the underlying dynamics of the system obey detailed balance. When…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Robert S. Maier , D. L. Stein
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