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Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

In this paper, we propose a reduced-bias estimator of the EVI for Pareto-type tails (heavy-tailed) distributions. This is derived using the weighted least squares method. It is shown that the estimator is unbiased, consistent and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , K. Doku-Amponsah

The subject of tail estimation for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution receives growing attention, motivated by applications for instance in actuarial statistics. The bias of the available estimators of the extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Jan Beirlant , Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andrehette Verster

This paper presents new probability inequalities for sums of independent, random, self-adjoint matrices. These results place simple and easily verifiable hypotheses on the summands, and they deliver strong conclusions about the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Joel A. Tropp

This work studies the tail exponents for the height function of the stationary stochastic six vertex model in the moderate deviations regime. For the upper tail of the height function we find upper and lower bounds of matching order, with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Benjamin Landon , Philippe Sosoe

We introduce a consistent estimator of the extreme value index under random truncation based on a single sample fraction of top observations from truncated and truncation data. We establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-02 S. Benchaira , D. Meraghni , A. Necir

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

We derive two-sided estimates for random multilinear forms (random chaoses) generated by independent symmetric random variables with logarithmically concave tails. Estimates are exact up to multiplicative constants depending only on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Konrad Kolesko , Rafał Latała

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

We develop an efficient simulation algorithm for computing the tail probabilities of the infinite series $S = \sum_{n \geq 1} a_n X_n$ when random variables $X_n$ are heavy-tailed. As $S$ is the sum of infinitely many random variables, any…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Henrik Hult , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek Murthy

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a compound sum of independent random variables, all having the same light-tailed subexponential distribution. The examples of a Poisson and geometric number of summands serve as an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

General upper tail estimates are given for counting edges in a random induced subhypergraph of a fixed hypergraph H, with an easy proof by estimating the moments. As an application we consider the numbers of arithmetic progressions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Svante Janson , Andrzej Rucinski

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We investigate the famous Tchentzov's projection density statistical estimation in order to deduce the exponential decreasing tail of distribution for the natural normalized deviation. We modify these estimations assuming the square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In this paper we present various new inequalities for tail proabilities for distributions that are elements of the most improtant exponential families. These families include the Poisson distributions, the Gamma distributions, the binomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Emma S. Simpson , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper focuses on rare events associated with the tail probabilities of the extremal eigenvalues in the $\beta$-Jacobi ensemble, which plays a critical role in both multivariate statistical analysis and statistical physics. Under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Yutao Ma , Siyu Wang

This work prepares new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, Hermitian tensors. These probability bounds characterize large-deviation behavior of the extreme eigenvalue of the sums of random tensors. We extend Lapalace…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Shih Yu Chang