Related papers: Averaging of random variables and fields

Let $X$ be an integrable discrete random variable over $\{0, 1, 2, \ldots\}$ with $\mathbb{P}(X = i + 1) \leq \mathbb{P}(X = i)$ for all $i$. Then for any integer $a \geq 1$, $\mathbb{P}(X \leq a) \leq \mathbb{E}[X] / (2a - 1)$. Let $W$ be…

We derive sharp probability bounds on the tails of a product of symmetric non-negative random variables using only information about their first two moments. If the covariance matrix of the random variables is known exactly, these bounds…

For certain natural families of topologies, we study continuity and stability of statistical properties of random walks on linear groups over local fields. We extend large deviation results known in the Archimedean case to non-Archimedean…

We study decades-long historic distributions of accumulated S\&P500 returns, from daily returns to those over several weeks. The time series of the returns emphasize major upheavals in the markets -- Black Monday, Tech Bubble, Financial…

Sample measures of top centile contributions to the total (concentration) are downward biased, unstable estimators, extremely sensitive to sample size and concave in accounting for large deviations. It makes them particularly unfit in…

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

The Peaks-Over Threshold is a fundamental method in the estimation of rare events such as small exceedance probabilities, extreme quantiles and return periods. The main problem with the Peaks-Over Threshold method relates to the selection…

We discuss the quenched tail estimates for the random walk in random scenery. The random walk is the symmetric nearest neighbor walk and the random scenery is assumed to be independent and identically distributed, non-negative, and has a…

It has been observed in numerous experiments, simulations, and various theoretical treatments that the spreading of particles can be modeled by the continuous-time random walk. We consider two well-known cases, i.e., Gaussian displacements…

We investigate weak convergence of renewal shot noise processes in the case of slowly varying tails of the inter-shot times. We show that these processes, after an appropriate non-linear scaling, converge in the sense of finite-dimensional…

We obtain a number of new general properties, related to the closedness of the class of long-tailed distributions under convolutions, that are of interest themselves and may be applied in many models that deal with "plus" and/or "max"…

In this paper, we study the fluctuations of sums of random variables with distribution defined as a mixture of light-tail and truncated heavy-tail distributions. We focus on the case when both the mixing coefficient and the truncation level…

We investigate the behavior of the length of the longest weakly increasing subsequences (weak LIS) of $n$-step random walks with nonzero integer increments $k = \pm 1, \pm 2, \dots$ given by a zero-mean, symmetric heavy tailed mass…

The statistical distribution of the ratio of two normal random variables is characterized by its heavy-tailed nature and absence of finite moments. The shape of its density function is highly variable, capable of exhibiting unimodal or…

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Let $T$ be the Student one- or two-sample $t$-, $F$-, or Welch statistic. Now release the underlying assumptions of normality, independence and identical distribution and consider a more general case where one only assumes that the vector…

We study the one-dimensional branching random walk in the case when the step size distribution has a stretched exponential tail, and, in particular, no finite exponential moments. The tail of the step size $X$ decays as $\mathbb{P}[X \geq…

The tails of the distribution of a mean zero, variance $\sigma^2$ random variable $Y$ satisfy concentration of measure inequalities of the form $\mathbb{P}(Y \ge t) \le \exp(-B(t))$ for $$ B(t)=\frac{t^2}{2( \sigma^2 + ct)} \quad \mbox{for…

Let $\eta_1$, $\eta_2,\ldots$ be independent copies of a random variable $\eta$ with zero mean and finite variance which is bounded from the right, that is, $\eta\leq b$ almost surely for some $b>0$. Considering different types of the…