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In display advertising, predicting the conversion rate, that is, the probability that a user takes a predefined action on an advertiser's website, such as purchasing goods is fundamental in estimating the value of displaying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Shota Yasui , Gota Morishita , Komei Fujita , Masashi Shibata

In online advertising under the cost-per-conversion (CPA) model, accurate conversion rate (CVR) prediction is crucial. A major challenge is delayed feedback, where conversions may occur long after user interactions, leading to incomplete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Chenlu Ding , Jiancan Wu , Yancheng Yuan , Cunchun Li , Xiang Wang , Dingxian Wang , Frank Yang , Andrew Rabinovich

Conversion rate (CVR) prediction is one of the most critical tasks for digital display advertising. Commercial systems often require to update models in an online learning manner to catch up with the evolving data distribution. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Jia-Qi Yang , Xiang Li , Shuguang Han , Tao Zhuang , De-Chuan Zhan , Xiaoyi Zeng , Bin Tong

The prediction objectives of online advertisement ranking models are evolving from probabilistic metrics like conversion rate (CVR) to numerical business metrics like post-click gross merchandise volume (GMV). Unlike the well-studied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Xinyu Li , Sishuo Chen , Guipeng Xv , Li Zhang , Mingxuan Luo , Zhangming Chan , Xiang-Rong Sheng , Han Zhu , Jian Xu , Chen Lin

Predicting the expected value or number of post-click conversions (purchases or other events) is a key task in performance-based digital advertising. In training a conversion optimizer model, one of the most crucial aspects is handling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Ashwinkumar Badanidiyuru , Andrew Evdokimov , Vinodh Krishnan , Pan Li , Wynn Vonnegut , Jayden Wang

Estimating post-click conversion rate (CVR) accurately is crucial in E-commerce. However, CVR prediction usually suffers from three major challenges in practice: i) data sparsity: compared with impressions, conversion samples are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Yanshi Wang , Jie Zhang , Qing Da , Anxiang Zeng

Rich user behavior information is of great importance for capturing and understanding user interest in click-through rate (CTR) prediction. To improve the richness, collecting long-term behaviors becomes a typical approach in academy and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Xiaochen Li , Rui Zhong , Jian Liang , Xialong Liu , Yu Zhang

The delayed feedback problem is one of the imperative challenges in online advertising, which is caused by the highly diversified feedback delay of a conversion varying from a few minutes to several days. It is hard to design an appropriate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Haoming Li , Feiyang Pan , Xiang Ao , Zhao Yang , Min Lu , Junwei Pan , Dapeng Liu , Lei Xiao , Qing He

One of the difficulties of conversion rate (CVR) prediction is that the conversions can delay and take place long after the clicks. The delayed feedback poses a challenge: fresh data are beneficial to continuous training but may not have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Siyu Gu , Xiang-Rong Sheng , Ying Fan , Guorui Zhou , Xiaoqiang Zhu

Delayed feedback poses a core challenge for online CVR prediction, forcing a trade-off between label accuracy and data freshness. Existing methods address this through delay modeling or sample reweighting, yet neglect how post-click…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Xinyue Zhang , Yuanhao Ding , Xiang Ao

Recommender systems aim to fulfill the user's daily demands. While most existing research focuses on maximizing the user's engagement with the system, it has recently been pointed out that how frequently the users come back for the service…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ziru Liu , Shuchang Liu , Bin Yang , Zhenghai Xue , Qingpeng Cai , Xiangyu Zhao , Zijian Zhang , Lantao Hu , Han Li , Peng Jiang

Sales promotions, as short-term incentives to stimulate product purchases, play a pivotal role in modern e-commerce marketing strategies. During promotional events, user behavior patterns exhibit distinct characteristics compared to regular…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xin Song , Kaiyuan Li , Jinxin Hu

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a core task in recommender systems. Existing methods (IDRec for short) rely on unique identities to represent distinct users and items that have prevailed for decades. On one hand, IDRec often faces…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Yuanbo Gao , Peng Lin , Dongyue Wang , Feng Mei , Xiwei Zhao , Sulong Xu , Jinghe Hu

In online advertising, it is highly important to predict the probability and the value of a conversion (e.g., a purchase). It not only impacts user experience by showing relevant ads, but also affects ROI of advertisers and revenue of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Hui Gao , Yihan Yang

Online recommenders have attained growing interest and created great revenue for businesses. Given numerous users and items, incremental update becomes a mainstream paradigm for learning large-scale models in industrial scenarios, where…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Chen Yang , Jin Chen , Qian Yu , Xiangdong Wu , Kui Ma , Zihao Zhao , Zhiwei Fang , Wenlong Chen , Chaosheng Fan , Jie He , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Jingping Shao

Recommender systems are often optimised for short-term reward: a recommendation is considered successful if a reward (e.g. a click) can be observed immediately after the recommendation. The advantage of this framework is that with some…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Philomène Chagniot , Flavian Vasile , David Rohde

Recommender systems that learn from implicit feedback often use large volumes of a single type of implicit user feedback, such as clicks, to enhance the prediction of sparse target behavior such as purchases. Using multiple types of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Xin Xin , Xiangyuan Liu , Hanbing Wang , Pengjie Ren , Zhumin Chen , Jiahuan Lei , Xinlei Shi , Hengliang Luo , Joemon Jose , Maarten de Rijke , Zhaochun Ren

Modern recommendation systems ought to benefit by probing for and learning from delayed feedback. Research has tended to focus on learning from a user's response to a single recommendation. Such work, which leverages methods of supervised…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Zheqing Zhu , Benjamin Van Roy

Predicting delayed outcomes is an important problem in recommender systems (e.g., if customers will finish reading an ebook). We formalize the problem as an adversarial, delayed online learning problem and consider how a proxy for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Timothy A. Mann , Sven Gowal , András György , Ray Jiang , Huiyi Hu , Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Prav Srinivasan

Generative query suggestion using large language models offers a powerful way to enhance conversational systems, but aligning outputs with nuanced user preferences remains a critical challenge. To address this, we introduce a multi-stage…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Junhao Yin , Haolin Wang , Peng Bao , Ju Xu , Yongliang Wang
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