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The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) sounder-derived Wet Microburst Severity Index (WMSI) was originally developed and implemented to assess the potential magnitude of convective downbursts over the central and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kenneth Pryor

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

Visible (VIS) imagery is important for monitoring Tropical Cyclones (TCs) but is unavailable at night. This study presents a Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGAN) model to generate nighttime VIS imagery with significantly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-08 Jinghuai Yao , Puyuan Du , Yucheng Zhao , Yubo Wang

Direct computer simulation of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) in weather models is limited by computational expense. Intense TCs are rare and have small-scale structures, making it difficult to produce large ensembles of storms at high…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-22 David A. Plotkin , Robert J. Webber , Morgan E O'Neill , Jonathan Weare , Dorian S. Abbot

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Tropical cyclone (TC) inner-core surface wind vectors underpin intensity forecasting and storm-surge prediction, yet direct observations remain scarce: routine aircraft reconnaissance is confined to the North Atlantic and Eastern Pacific…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Xinhai Han , Xiaohui Li , Jingsong Yang , Zeyi Niu , Guoqi Han , Jiuke Wang , Wei Huang , Yunxia Zheng , Hanyue Ni , Yiqi Wang , Wei Tao , Lotfi Aouf , Shaoliang Peng , Dake Chen

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction is crucial for mitigating storm hazards, yet its complex dynamics pose challenges to traditional methods. Here, we introduce a Physics-Informed Residual Neural Ordinary Differential…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-11 Fan Meng

In just the past few years multiple data-driven Artificial Intelligence Weather Prediction (AIWP) models have been developed, with new versions appearing almost monthly. Given this rapid development, the applicability of these models to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-12 Mark DeMaria , James L. Franklin , Galina Chirokova , Jacob Radford , Robert DeMaria , Kate D. Musgrave , Imme Ebert-Uphoff

Global medium-range weather forecasts suffer occasional failures, often linked to tropical cyclones (TCs). We investigate TC influences on extratropical predictability by comparing forecasts from a physics-based model (ECMWF-IFS) and an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-11 Gan Zhang

Cloud radiative feedback impacts early tropical cyclone (TC) intensification, but limitations in existing diagnostic frameworks make them unsuitable for studying asymmetric or transient radiative heating. We propose a linear Variational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Frederick Iat-Hin Tam , Tom Beucler , James H. Ruppert

Accurate forecasting of Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is crucial for formulating disaster risk reduction strategies. Current methods predominantly rely on limited spatiotemporal information from ERA5 data and neglect the causal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Xinyu Wang , Kang Chen , Lei Liu , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

Predicting tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI) is an important yet challenging task in current operational forecast due to our incomplete understanding of TC nonlinear processes. This study examines the variability of RI onset,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Chanh Kieu , Dimitrios Sakellariou , Mahashweta Patra

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most devastating natural hazards, yet their intensity remains notoriously difficult to predict. NWP models are constrained by both computational demands and intrinsic predictability, while…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Shan Guo , Lei Chen , Yangyang Zhao , Yuetan Lin , Zeyi Niu , Xinyan Zhang , Ziyao Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Machine learning (ML) models are successful with weather forecasting and have shown progress in climate simulations, yet leveraging them for useful climate predictions needs exploration. Here we show this feasibility using Neural General…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Gan Zhang , Megha Rao , Janni Yuval , Ming Zhao

A reliable tropical cyclone (TC) climatology is the key to assessing historical and future changes in TC activities. While global TC records have been systematically maintained since the early 1940s, substantial uncertainties remain for the…

Landfall of a tropical cyclone is the event when it moves over the land after crossing the coast of the ocean. It is important to know the characteristics of the landfall in terms of location and time, well advance in time to take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Sandeep Kumar , Koushik Biswas , Ashish Kumar Pandey

Applications of satellite data in areas such as weather tracking and modeling, ecosystem monitoring, wildfire detection, and land-cover change are heavily dependent on the trade-offs to spatial, spectral and temporal resolutions of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Thomas Vandal , Ramakrishna Nemani

Hurricanes and, more generally, tropical cyclones (TCs) are rare, complex natural phenomena of both scientific and public interest. The importance of understanding TCs in a changing climate has increased as recent TCs have had devastating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Niccolò Dalmasso , Robin Dunn , Benjamin LeRoy , Chad Schafer

Accurate tropical cyclones (TCs) tracking represents a critical challenge in the context of weather and climate science. Traditional tracking schemes mainly rely on subjective thresholds, which may introduce biases in their skills on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Davide Donno , Donatello Elia , Gabriele Accarino , Marco De Carlo , Enrico Scoccimarro , Silvio Gualdi