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We consider stationary time series $\{X_j, j \in Z\} whose finite dimensional distributions are regularly varying with extremal independence. We assume that for each $h \geq 1$, conditionally on $X_0$ to exceed a threshold tending to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Clemonell Bilayi-Biakana , Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be iid random vectors and $f\ge 0$ be a non-negative function. Let also $k(n) = {\rm Argmax}_{i=1,...,n} f(X_i)$. We are interested in the distribution of $X_{k(n)}$ and their limit theorems. In other words, what is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Hans-Peter Scheffler , Stilian Stoev

In this article, we discuss a bivariate distribution whose conditionals are univariate binomial distributions and the marginals are not binomial that exhibits negative correlation. Some useful structural properties of this distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Indranil Ghosh , Filipe Marques , Subrata Chakraborty

This paper deals with empirical processes of the type \[C_n(B)=\sqrt{n}\{\mu_n(B)-P(X_{n+1}\in B\mid X_1,...,X_n)\},\] where $(X_n)$ is a sequence of random variables and $\mu_n=(1/n)\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_{X_i}$ the empirical measure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Order statistics theory is applied in this paper to probabilistic robust control theory to compute the minimum sample size needed to come up with a reliable estimate of an uncertain quantity under continuity assumption of the related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

In this paper, a robust non-parametric measure of statistical dependence, or correlation, between two random variables is presented. The proposed coefficient is a permutation-like statistic that quantifies how much the observed sample S_n :…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Rami Mahdi

A number of writers have supposed that for the full specification of belief, higher order probabilities are required. Some have even supposed that there may be an unending sequence of higher order probabilities of probabilities of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Henry E. Kyburg

We prove the following exponential inequality: Let $n\geq 1$ and let $X_1,...,X_n$ be $n$ independent identically distributed symmetric real-valued random variables. For any $x,y>0$, we have \[\mathbb{P}\big({X_1+...+X_n}\geq x,\,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Raphaël Cerf , Matthias Gorny

Even though strongly correlated systems are abundant, only a few exceptional cases admit analytical solutions. In this paper we present a large class of solvable systems with strong correlations.. We consider a set of $N$ independent and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-04 Marco Biroli , Hernán Larralde , Satya N. Majumdar , Grégory Schehr

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

It is known that if X is uniformly distributed modulo 1 and Y is an arbitrary random variable independent of X then Y+X is also uniformly distributed modulo 1. We prove a converse for any continuous random variable Y (or a reasonable…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Michał Ryszard Wójcik

We study finite-sample inference for the trade-off function of two unknown probability distributions, the function that traces the optimal type I/type II error frontier in binary testing. Given samples from distributions $P$ and $Q$, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Kaining Shi , Qiaosen Wang , Cong Ma

For two causal structures with the same set of visible variables, one is said to observationally dominate the other if the set of distributions over the visible variables realizable by the first contains the set of distributions over the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-24 Marina Maciel Ansanelli , Elie Wolfe , Robert W. Spekkens

In data analysis problems where we are not able to rely on distributional assumptions, what types of inference guarantees can still be obtained? Many popular methods, such as holdout methods, cross-validation methods, and conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Yonghoon Lee , Rina Foygel Barber

Distribution testing deals with what information can be deduced about an unknown distribution over $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, where the algorithm is only allowed to obtain a relatively small number of independent samples from the distribution. In…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Eldar Fischer , Oded Lachish , Yadu Vasudev

Though the notion of exchangeability has been discussed in the causal inference literature under various guises, it has rarely taken its original meaning as a symmetry property of probability distributions. As this property is a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , David A. Stephens , Erica E. M. Moodie

Conditional identity in distribution (Berti et al. (2004)) is a new type of dependence for random variables, which generalizes the well-known notion of exchangeability. In this paper, a class of random sequences, called Generalized Species…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-18 Federico Bassetti , Irene Crimaldi , Fabrizio Leisen

We define a new statistic $\mathsf{sor}$ on the set of colored permutations $\mathsf{G}_{r,n}$ and prove that it has the same distribution as the length function. For the set of restricted colored permutations corresponding to the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Sen-Peng Eu , Yuan-Hsun Lo , Tsai-Lien Wong

Given two independent samples of non-negative random variables with unknown distribution functions $F$ and $G$, respectively, we introduce and discuss two tests for the hypothesis that $F$ is less than or equal to $G$ in increasing convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Ludwig Baringhaus , Rudolf Grübel

Ewens' sampling formula (ESF) provides the probability distribution governing the number of distinct genetic types and their respective frequencies at a selectively neutral locus under the infinitely-many-alleles model of mutation. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-17 F. H. Haydarov , Z. E. Mustafoyeva , U. A. Rozikov