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It has long been thought that high-dimensional data encountered in many practical machine learning tasks have low-dimensional structure, i.e., the manifold hypothesis holds. A natural question, thus, is to estimate the intrinsic dimension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-01 Adam Block , Zeyu Jia , Yury Polyanskiy , Alexander Rakhlin

In this paper we investigate the geometry of the likelihood of the unknown parameters in a simple class of Bayesian directed graphs with hidden variables. This enables us, before any numerical algorithms are employed, to obtain certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Raffaella Settimi , Jim Q. Smith

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a random sample from an unknown probability distribution $P$ on the sample space ${\cal X}$, and let $\theta=\theta(P)$ be a parameter of interest. The present paper proposes a nonparametric `Bayesian bootstrap'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Nils Lid Hjort

We consider a non-parametric Bayesian model for conditional densities. The model is a finite mixture of normal distributions with covariate dependent multinomial logit mixing probabilities. A prior for the number of mixture components is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Andriy Norets , Debdeep Pati

Uncertainty quantification for image data is dominated by complex deep learning methods, yet the field lacks an interpretable, mathematically grounded baseline. We propose Bayesian scattering to fill this gap, serving as a first-step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bernardo Fichera , Zarko Ivkovic , Kjell Jorner , Philipp Hennig , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

For exponentially distributed lifetimes, we consider the prediction of future order statistics based on having observed the first $m$ order statistics. We focus on the previously less explored aspects of predicting: (i) an arbitrary pair of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Akbar Asgharzadeh , Éric Marchand , Ali Saadati Nik

We describe a method for fitting distributions to data which only requires knowledge of the parametric form of either the signal or the background but not both. The unknown distribution is fit using a non-parametric kernel density…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. López

Given a random sample of points from some unknown density, we propose a data-driven method for estimating density level sets under the r-convexity assumption. This shape condition generalizes the convexity property. However, the main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-09 Alberto Rodríguez-Casal , Paula Saavedra-Nieves

Manifold-valued parameters routinely arise in modern statistical applications such as in medical imaging, robotics, and computer vision, to name a few. While traditional Bayesian approaches are applicable to such settings by considering an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rong Tang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Within the scope of our recent approach for Efficient Unsupervised Constitutive Law Identification and Discovery (EUCLID), we propose an unsupervised Bayesian learning framework for discovery of parsimonious and interpretable constitutive…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Akshay Joshi , Prakash Thakolkaran , Yiwen Zheng , Maxime Escande , Moritz Flaschel , Laura De Lorenzis , Siddhant Kumar

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

Recently quantum prediction problem was proposed in the Bayesian framework. It is shown that Bayesian predictive density operators are the best predictive density operators when we evaluate them by using the average relative entropy based…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Tanaka , F. Komaki

The multivariate normal density is a monotonic function of the distance to the mean, and its ellipsoidal shape is due to the underlying Euclidean metric. We suggest to replace this metric with a locally adaptive, smoothly changing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-26 Georgios Arvanitidis , Lars Kai Hansen , Søren Hauberg

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are universal density estimators based on Neural Networks. However, this universality is limited: the density's support needs to be diffeomorphic to a Euclidean space. In this paper, we propose a novel method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Christian Horvat , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $\beta$-H\"{o}lder class with an exponentially decreasing tail,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Kyoungjae Lee , Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin

We consider Bayesian nonparametric density estimation using a Pitman-Yor or a normalized inverse-Gaussian process kernel mixture as the prior distribution for a density. The procedure is studied from a frequentist perspective. Using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Catia Scricciolo