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Business statistics play a crucial role in implementing a data-driven strategic plan at the enterprise level to employ various analytics where the outcomes of such a plan enable an enterprise to enhance the decision-making process or to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Saman Sarraf

This paper explores various socioeconomic factors that contribute to individual financial success using machine learning algorithms and approaches. Financial success, a critical aspect of all individual's well-being, is a complex concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Michael Zhou , Ramin Ramezani

This study examines how interest rate caps affect the demand for payday loans, using aggregate data from British Columbia (2012--2019) during which the province's maximum fee was reduced from $23 to $17 and then to \$15 per $100 borrowed.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-06 Tim Zhang , Amity Quinn

While there is excitement about the potential for algorithms to optimize individual decision-making, changes in individual behavior will, almost inevitably, impact markets. Yet little is known about such effects. In this paper, I study how…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-14 Lindsey Raymond

Credit is an essential component of financial wellbeing in America, and unequal access to it is a large factor in the economic disparities between demographic groups that exist today. Today, machine learning algorithms, sometimes trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 I. Elizabeth Kumar , Keegan E. Hines , John P. Dickerson

We argue that the recent growth in income inequality is driven by disparate growth in investment income rather than by disparate growth in wages. Specifically, we present evidence that real wages are flat across a range of professions,…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-29 B. N. Kausik

Energy forecasting has attracted enormous attention over the last few decades, with novel proposals related to the use of heterogeneous data sources, probabilistic forecasting, online learn-ing, etc. A key aspect that emerged is that…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-05 Pierre Pinson , Liyang Han , Jalal Kazempour

This study investigates the impact of increased debt servicing costs on household consumption resulting from monetary policy tightening. It utilizes observational panel microdata on all mortgage holders in Israel and leverages…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-04 Itamar Caspi , Nadav Eshel , Nimrod Segev

Both buyers and sellers face uncertainty in real estate transactions in about when to time a transaction and at what cost. Both buyers and sellers make decisions without knowing the present and future state of the large and dynamic real…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-12 Yuanyuan Zha , Susan T. Parker , James J. Foster , Vadim Sokolov

In this paper, we investigate the impact of mortgage rates on home prices, and how the impact may be used to help property purchase discussions at individual buyer level and to adjust home price indices across time. A mortgage-rate-adjusted…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-08 Honggao Cao

As AI adoption accelerates, research on its economic impacts becomes a salient source to consider for stakeholders of AI policy. Such research is however still in its infancy, and one in need of review. This paper aims to accomplish just…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-09 Rafael Andersson Lipcsey

This study focuses on the impact of digital finance on households. While digital finance has brought financial inclusion, it has also increased the risk of households falling into a debt trap. We provide evidence that supports this notion…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-25 Pengpeng Yue , Aslihan Gizem Korkmaz , Zhichao Yin , Haigang Zhou

Unfairness in mortgage lending has created generational inequality among racial and ethnic groups in the US. Many studies address this problem, but most existing work focuses on correlation-based techniques. In our work, we use the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-02 Sama Ghoba , Nathan Colaner

Mortgages account for the largest portion of household debt in the United States, totaling around \$12 trillion nationwide. In times of financial hardship, alleviating mortgage burdens is essential for supporting affected households. The…

Real estate appraisal, which is the process of estimating the price for real estate properties, is crucial for both buys and sellers as the basis for negotiation and transaction. Traditionally, the repeat sales model has been widely adopted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Quanzeng You , Ran Pang , Liangliang Cao , Jiebo Luo

Using a large quarterly macroeconomic dataset for the period 1960-2017, we document the ability of specific financial ratios from the housing market and firms' aggregate balance sheets to predict GDP over medium-term horizons in the United…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-22 Graziano Moramarco

We analyse growth vulnerabilities in the US using quantile partial correlation regression, a selection-based machine-learning method that achieves model selection consistency under time series. We find that downside risk is primarily driven…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-03 Tobias Adrian , Hongqi Chen , Max-Sebastian Dovì , Ji Hyung Lee

As financial institutions increasingly rely on machine learning models to automate lending decisions, concerns about algorithmic fairness have risen. This paper explores the tradeoff between enforcing fairness constraints (such as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Aayam Bansal

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

Does the ability to pledge an asset as collateral, after purchase, affect its price? This paper identifies the impact of collateral service flows on house prices, exploiting a plausibly exogenous constitutional amendment in Texas which…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-08 Albert Alex Zevelev