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Accurately identifying the extremal dependence structure in multivariate heavy-tailed data is a fundamental yet challenging task, particularly in financial applications. Following a recently proposed bootstrap-based testing procedure, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Qian Hui , Sidney I. Resnick , Tiandong Wang

Extremal dependence between international stock markets is of particular interest in today's global financial landscape. However, previous studies have shown this dependence is not necessarily stationary over time. We concern ourselves with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-06 Daniela Castro Camilo , Miguel de Carvalho , Jennifer Wadsworth

This study aims to examine the intricate dynamics between BRICS traditional stock assets and the evolving landscape of cryptocurrencies. Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression model (TVP-VAR), we have analyzed data from the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Wei Wang , Haibo Wang , Wendy Wang , Martin Enilov

The aim of this paper is to dig deeper into understanding the exchange rates and uncertainty dependence. Using the novel Baker et al. (2020)'s daily Twitter Uncertainty Index and BRICS exchange rates, we investigate their extreme tail…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-10 Nourhaine Nefzi , Abir Abid

The failure of key financial institutions may accelerate risk contagion due to their interconnections within the system. In this paper, we propose a robust portfolio strategy to mitigate systemic risks during extreme events. We use the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Qian Hui , Tiandong Wang

There certainly is little or no doubt that politicians, sometimes consciously and sometimes not, exert a significant impact on stock markets. The evolving volatility over the Republican Donald Trump's surprise victory in the US presidential…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-10 Jamal Bouoiyour , Refk Selmi

We study an optimal investment/consumption problem in a model capturing market and credit risk dependencies. Stochastic factors drive both the default intensity and the volatility of the stocks in the portfolio. We use the martingale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

This paper investigates a time-varying version of weak-form market efficiency in the BRICS countries. A moving window test for sample autocorrelations is applied alongside a Kalman filter approach to recover the hidden dynamics of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Maria V. Kulikova , David R. Taylor , Gennady Yu. Kulikov

The purpose of this paper is to calculate the risk-dependent centrality (RDC) of the Brazilian stock market. We computed the RDC for assets traded on the Brazilian stock market between January 2008 to June 2020 at different levels of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Michel Alexandre , Kauê Lopes de Moraes , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

Stock market indices are one of the most investigated complex systems in econophysics. Here we extend the existing literature on stock markets in connection with nonextensive statistical mechanics. We explore the nonextensivity of price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Dusan Stosic , Darko Stosic , Tatijana Stosic

The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-22 Matthias Raddant , Dror Y. Kenett

In this paper we use the Brooks and Hinich cross-bicorrelation test in order to uncover nonlinear dependence periods between USA Standard and Poor 500 (SP500), used as benchmark, and six Latin American stock markets indexes: Mexico (BMV),…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-25 Semei Coronado , Omar Rojas , Rafael Romero-Meza , Francisco Venegas-Martinez

In many practical applications, evaluating the joint impact of combinations of environmental variables is important for risk management and structural design analysis. When such variables are considered simultaneously, non-stationarity can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth

We present some indications of inefficiency of the Brazilian stock market based on the existence of strong long-time cross-correlations with foreign markets and indices. Our results show a strong dependence on foreign markets indices as the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-19 Tarcisio M. Rocha Filho , Paulo M. M. Rocha

We study the dependence structure of market states by estimating empirical pairwise copulas of daily stock returns. We consider both original returns, which exhibit time-varying trends and volatilities, as well as locally normalized ones,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-30 Desislava Chetalova , Marcel Wollschläger , Rudi Schäfer

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Chandradew Sharma , Kinjal Banerjee

COVID-19 has impacted the economy of almost every country in the world. Of particular interest are the responses of the economic indicators of developing nations (such as BRICS) to the COVID-19 shock. As an extension to our earlier work on…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-11 Rupam Bhattacharyya , Sheo Rama , Atul Kumar , Indrajit Banerjee

The efficiency of the stock market has a significant impact on the potential return on investment. An efficient market eliminates the possibility of arbitrage and unexploited profit opportunities. This study analyzes the weak form…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Devansh Jain , Manthan Patel , Aman Narsaria , Siddharth Malik

Electricity markets are significantly more volatile than other comparable financial or commodity markets. Extreme price outcomes and their transmission between regions pose significant risks for market participants. We examine the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-22 Lin Han , Ivor Cribben , Stefan Trueck
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