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We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

We solve the problem of first-passage time for run-and-tumble particles in one dimension. Exact expression is derived for the mean first-passage time in the general case, considering external force-fields and chemotactic-fields, giving rise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-29 L. Angelani , R. Di Leonardo , M. Paoluzzi

We study a dynamical system with time dependent Hamiltonian by numerical experiments so as to find a relation between thermodynamics and chaotic nature of the system. Excess information loss, defined newly based on Lyapunov analysis, is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Sasa , T. S. Komatsu

In this paper, we will discuss an approximation of the characteristic function of the first passage time for a Levy process using the martingale approach. The characteristic function of the first passage time of the tempered stable process…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-04 Young Shin Kim

First-passage time problems are ubiquitous across many fields of study including transport processes in semiconductors and biological synapses, evolutionary game theory and percolation. Despite their prominence, first-passage time…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-01 Wilhelm Braun , Rüdiger Thul

We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-29 David Schnoerr , Botond Cseke , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper we introduce the concept of random time changes in dynamical systems. The subordination principle may be applied to study the long time behavior of the random time systems. We show, under certain assumptions on the class of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 José Luís da Silva , Yuri Kondratiev

First passage time statistics in disordered systems exhibiting scale invariance are studied widely. In particular, long trapping times in energy or entropic traps are fat-tailed distributed, which slow the overall transport process. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-26 Marc Höll , Alon Nissan , Brian Berkowitz , Eli Barkai

The approach the first-passage time (FPT) of a random process to a certain level is applied to the description of radiation-enhanced diffusion. This is an integral approach to describing the problem of radiation-enhanced diffusion, which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-09 V. V. Ryazanov

Many problems in finance are related to first passage times. Among all of them, we chose three on which we contributed personally. Our first example relates Kolmogorov-Smirnov like goodness-of-fit tests, modified in such a way that tail…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-14 Rémy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A definition of the thermodynamic entropy based on the time-dependent probability distribution of the macroscopic variables is developed. When a constraint in a composite system is released, the probability distribution for the new…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-23 Robert H. Swendsen

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

With nontrivial entropy production, first passage process is one of the most common nonequilibrium process in stochastic thermodynamics. Using one dimensional birth and death precess as a model framework, approximated expressions of mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Yunxin Zhang

The first-passage time (FPT) is a fundamental concept in stochastic processes, representing the time it takes for a process to reach a specified threshold for the first time. Often, considering a time-dependent threshold is essential for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Devika Khurana , Sascha Desmettre , Evelyn Buckwar

We propose a unifying theoretical framework for the analysis of first-passage time distributions in two important classes of stochastic processes in which the diffusivity of a particle evolves randomly in time. In the first class of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 D. S. Grebenkov

We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

In reliability theory and survival analysis, the residual entropy is known as a measure suitable to describe the dynamic information content in stochastic systems conditional on survival. Aiming to analyze the variability of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Luca Paolillo

A collection of identical and independent rare event first passage times is considered. The problem of finding the fastest out of $N$ such events to occur is called an extreme first passage time. The rare event times are singular and limit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-04-26 James MacLaurin , Jay M. Newby

Consider first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with passage times given by i.i.d. random variables with common distribution $F$. Let $t_\pi(u,v)$ be the time from $u$ to $v$ for a path $\pi$ and $t(u,v)$ the minimal time among all…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Enrique D. Andjel , Maria Eulalia Vares

Tipping points characterize situations where a regulated system may experience a sudden and irreversible change and are generally associated with a random state of the system below which the change materializes. In this paper, we study a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Jean-Paul Décamps , Fabien Gensbittel , Thomas Mariotti , Stéphane Villeneuve