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This work introduces a novel approach for generating conditional probabilistic rainfall forecasts with temporal and spatial dependence. A two-step procedure is employed. Firstly, marginal location-specific distributions are jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 David Huk , Rilwan A. Adewoyin , Ritabrata Dutta

Neural generative models can be used to learn complex probability distributions from data, to sample from them, and to produce probability density estimates. We propose a computational framework for developing neural generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-06 Alexander Ororbia , Daniel Kifer

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We propose notions of calibration for probabilistic forecasts of general multivariate quantities. Probabilistic copula calibration is a natural analogue of probabilistic calibration in the univariate setting. It can be assessed empirically…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Johanna F. Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

In this work we derive the copulas related to Manneville-Pomeau processes. We examine both bidimensional and multidimensional cases and derive some properties for the related copulas. Computational issues, approximations and random variate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Sílvia R. C. Lopes , Guilherme Pumi

Copulas are essential tools in statistics and probability theory, enabling the study of the dependence structure between random variables independently of their marginal distributions. Among the various types of copulas, Ratio-Type Copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Ziad Adwan , Nicola Sottocornola

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

The traditional view of neural computation in the cerebral cortex holds that sensory neurons are specialized, i.e., selective for certain dimensions of sensory stimuli. This view was challenged by evidence of contextual interactions between…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-26 Sergei Gepshtein , Ambarish Pawar , Sunwoo Kwon , Sergey Savel'ev , Thomas D. Albright

Accurately assessing financial risk requires capturing both individual asset volatility and the complex, asymmetric dependence structures that emerge during extreme market events. While modern diffusion-based models have advanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Dongshan Wang , Miha Bresar

We exploit Gaussian copulas to specify a class of multivariate circular distributions and obtain parametric models for the analysis of correlated circular data. This approach provides a straightforward extension of traditional multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

For deep learning problems on graph-structured data, pooling layers are important for down sampling, reducing computational cost, and to minimize overfitting. We define a pooling layer, nervePool, for data structured as simplicial…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Sarah McGuire Scullen , Ernst Röell , Elizabeth Munch , Bastian Rieck , Matthew Hirn

In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael Levine , Gildas Mazo

High-dimensional data sets are often available in genome-enabled predictions. Such data sets include nonlinear relationships with complex dependence structures. For such situations, vine copula based (quantile) regression is an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

Reconstructing gene regulatory networks from large-scale heterogeneous data is a key challenge in biology. In multi-omics data analysis, networks based on pairwise statistical association measures remain popular, as they are easy to build…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-11 Ekaterina Tomilina , Florence Jaffrézic , Gildas Mazo

Zero-inflated continuous data ubiquitously appear in many fields, in which lots of exactly zero-valued data are observed while others distribute continuously. Due to the mixed structure of discreteness and continuity in its distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Keita Hamamoto

We present a framework for simulating signal propagation in geometric networks (i.e. networks that can be mapped to geometric graphs in some space) and for developing algorithms that estimate (i.e. map) the state and functional topology of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-06-23 Marius Buibas , Gabriel A. Silva

This article extends the literature on copulas with discrete or continuous marginals to the case where some of the marginals are a mixture of discrete and continuous components. We do so by carefully defining the likelihood as the density…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 David Gunawan , Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

Clustering task of mixed data is a challenging problem. In a probabilistic framework, the main difficulty is due to a shortage of conventional distributions for such data. In this paper, we propose to achieve the mixed data clustering with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-01 Matthieu Marbac , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle