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Time-series forecasting remains difficult in real-world settings because temporal patterns operate at multiple scales, from broad contextual trends to fast, fine-grained fluctuations that drive critical decisions. Existing neural models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sepideh Koohfar

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) are graphical representations of multi-component continuous-time Markov processes as directed graphs. The edges in the network represent direct influences among components. The joint rate matrix of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

Discretizing continuous-time linear systems typically requires numerical integration. This document presents a convenient method for discretizing the dynamics, input, and process noise state-space matrices of a continuous-time linear system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Steven Dahdah , James Richard Forbes

Cox processes model overdispersed point process data via a latent stochastic intensity, but both nonparametric estimation of the intensity model and posterior inference over intensity paths are typically intractable, relying on expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Xinlong Du , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

Creating high-fidelity, coherent long videos is a sought-after aspiration. While recent video diffusion models have shown promising potential, they still grapple with spatiotemporal inconsistencies and high computational resource demands.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Yongjia Ma , Junlin Chen , Donglin Di , Qi Xie , Lei Fan , Wei Chen , Xiaofei Gou , Na Zhao , Xun Yang

We propose self-diffusion, a novel framework for solving inverse problems without relying on pretrained generative models. Traditional diffusion-based approaches require training a model on a clean dataset to learn to reverse the forward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Guanxiong Luo , Shoujin Huang , Yanlong Yang

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

Distilled autoregressive diffusion models facilitate real-time short video synthesis but suffer from severe error accumulation during long-sequence generation. While existing Test-Time Optimization (TTO) methods prove effective for images…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Xunzhi Xiang , Zixuan Duan , Guiyu Zhang , Haiyu Zhang , Zhe Gao , Junta Wu , Shaofeng Zhang , Tengfei Wang , Qi Fan , Chunchao Guo

Diffusion models (DMs) as generative priors have recently shown great potential for denoising tasks but lack theoretical understanding with respect to their mean square error (MSE) optimality. This paper proposes a novel denoising strategy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Benedikt Fesl , Benedikt Böck , Florian Strasser , Michael Baur , Michael Joham , Wolfgang Utschick

Combining discrete and continuous data is an important capability for generative models. We present Discrete Flow Models (DFMs), a new flow-based model of discrete data that provides the missing link in enabling flow-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Andrew Campbell , Jason Yim , Regina Barzilay , Tom Rainforth , Tommi Jaakkola

We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is degenerate or low. More precisely, one is given access to a discrete time observation sequence which at any time $k$ depends only on the state of an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Diffusion models have recently gained unprecedented attention in the field of image synthesis due to their remarkable generative capabilities. Notwithstanding their prowess, these models often incur substantial computational costs,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Xinyin Ma , Gongfan Fang , Xinchao Wang

Recent advances in masked diffusion language models (MDLMs) narrow the quality gap to autoregressive LMs, but their sampling remains expensive because generation requires many full-sequence denoising passes with a large Transformer and,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Ivan Sedykh , Nikita Sorokin , Valentin Malykh

We study parametric inference for ergodic diffusion processes with a degenerate diffusion matrix. Existing research focuses on a particular class of hypo-elliptic SDEs, with components split into `rough'/`smooth' and noise from rough…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew Graham

Recommender systems often grapple with noisy implicit feedback. Most studies alleviate the noise issues from data cleaning perspective such as data resampling and reweighting, but they are constrained by heuristic assumptions. Another…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Jujia Zhao , Wenjie Wang , Yiyan Xu , Teng Sun , Fuli Feng , Tat-Seng Chua

The neural-network denoising functions which form the backbone of image diffusion models are remarkably consistent in their generalization behaviour across a wide variety of network architectures and training procedure hyperparameters. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Matthew Niedoba , Berend Zwartsenberg , Frank Wood

Data-driven emulation of nonlinear dynamics is challenging due to long-range skill decay that often produces physically unrealistic outputs. Recent advances in generative modeling aim to address these issues by providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Juan Nathaniel , Pierre Gentine

Distantly-labeled data can be used to scale up training of statistical models, but it is typically noisy and that noise can vary with the distant labeling technique. In this work, we propose a two-stage procedure for handling this type of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Yasumasa Onoe , Greg Durrett

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art synthesis quality on both visual and audio tasks, and recent works further adapt them to textual data by diffusing on the embedding space. In this paper, we conduct systematic studies of the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Zhujin Gao , Junliang Guo , Xu Tan , Yongxin Zhu , Fang Zhang , Jiang Bian , Linli Xu
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