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Modeling and simulations of pandemic dynamics play an essential role in understanding and addressing the spreading of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Viet Bach Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Long Tran-Thanh , Nhung Nghiem

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Accurate forecasting and analysis of emerging pandemics play a crucial role in effective public health management and decision-making. Traditional approaches primarily rely on epidemiological data, overlooking other valuable sources of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Khanh-Tung Tran , Truong Son Hy , Lili Jiang , Xuan-Son Vu

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Modelling epidemic events such as COVID-19 cases in both time and space dimensions is an important but challenging task. Building on in-depth review and assessment of two popular graph neural network (GNN)-based regional epidemic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-20 Xiangxin Kong , Hang Wang , Yutong Li , Yanghao Chen , Zudi Lu

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Epidemic prediction is a fundamental task for epidemic control and prevention. Many mechanistic models and deep learning models are built for this task. However, most mechanistic models have difficulty estimating the time/region-varying…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Qi Cao , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

Medical time series has been playing a vital role in real-world healthcare systems as valuable information in monitoring health conditions of patients. Accurate classification for medical time series, e.g., Electrocardiography (ECG)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Wei Fan , Jingru Fei , Dingyu Guo , Kun Yi , Xiaozhuang Song , Haolong Xiang , Hangting Ye , Min Li

When an epidemic spreads into a population, it is often unpractical or impossible to have a continuous monitoring of all subjects involved. As an alternative, algorithmic solutions can be used to infer the state of the whole population from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Abhishek Tomy , Matteo Razzanelli , Francesco Di Lauro , Daniela Rus , Cosimo Della Santina

In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in the use of graph neural networks (GNNs) for analyzing dynamic graphs, which are graphs that evolve over time. However, there is still a lack of understanding of how different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Rishu Verma , Ashmita Bhattacharya , Sai Naveen Katla

Graphs have become a crucial way to represent large, complex and often temporal datasets across a wide range of scientific disciplines. However, when graphs are used as input to machine learning models, this rich temporal information is…

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a growing interest in studying epidemiological models. Traditional mechanistic models mathematically describe the transmission mechanisms of infectious diseases. However, they often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Zewen Liu , Guancheng Wan , B. Aditya Prakash , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is a crucial research topic in transportation management. However, it is a challenging problem due to rapidly changing traffic conditions, high nonlinearity of traffic flow, and complex spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Sanghyun Lee , Chanyoung Park

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

Accurately forecasting dynamic processes on graphs, such as traffic flow or disease spread, remains a challenge. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data, they often lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Zakaria Elabid , Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

Spatio-temporal signals forecasting plays an important role in numerous domains, especially in neuroscience and transportation. The task is challenging due to the highly intricate spatial structure, as well as the non-linear temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Duc Thien Nguyen , Manh Duc Tuan Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Risi Kondor

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang
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