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In this paper, we prove that functional sliced inverse regression (FSIR) achieves the optimal (minimax) rate for estimating the central space in functional sufficient dimension reduction problems. First, we provide a concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Rui Chen , Songtao Tian , Dongming Huang , Qian Lin , Jun S. Liu

We propose a nonlinear function-on-function regression model where both the covariate and the response are random functions. The nonlinear regression is carried out in two steps: we first construct Hilbert spaces to accommodate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Peijun Sang , Bing Li

Loss functions are at the heart of deep learning, shaping how models learn and perform across diverse tasks. They are used to quantify the difference between predicted outputs and ground truth labels, guiding the optimization process to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Omar Elharrouss , Yasir Mahmood , Yassine Bechqito , Mohamed Adel Serhani , Elarbi Badidi , Jamal Riffi , Hamid Tairi

We study the problem of deployment efficient reinforcement learning (RL) with linear function approximation under the \emph{reward-free} exploration setting. This is a well-motivated problem because deploying new policies is costly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Dan Qiao , Yu-Xiang Wang

We consider the regression problem of estimating functions on $\mathbb{R}^D$ but supported on a $d$-dimensional manifold $ \mathcal{M} \subset \mathbb{R}^D $ with $ d \ll D $. Drawing ideas from multi-resolution analysis and nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-14 Wenjing Liao , Mauro Maggioni , Stefano Vigogna

In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

In many bandit problems, the maximal reward achievable by a policy is often unknown in advance. We consider the problem of estimating the optimal policy value in the sublinear data regime before the optimal policy is even learnable. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Jonathan N. Lee , Weihao Kong , Aldo Pacchiano , Vidya Muthukumar , Emma Brunskill

We propose estimators based on kernel ridge regression for nonparametric causal functions such as dose, heterogeneous, and incremental response curves. Treatment and covariates may be discrete or continuous in general spaces. Due to a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-25 Rahul Singh , Liyuan Xu , Arthur Gretton

Functional data analysis is a fast evolving branch of statistics. Estimation procedures for the popular functional linear model either suffer from lack of robustness or are computationally burdensome. To address these shortcomings, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

The analysis of the joint cumulative distribution function (CDF) with bivariate event time data is a challenging problem both theoretically and numerically. This paper develops a tensor spline-based sieve maximum likelihood estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Yuan Wu , Ying Zhang

Performative prediction is an emerging paradigm in machine learning that addresses scenarios where the model's prediction may induce a shift in the distribution of the data it aims to predict. Current works in this field often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Vincent Margot , Jean-Patrick Baudry , Frédéric Guilloux , Olivier Wintenberger

Cross-correlation techniques provide a promising avenue for calibrating photometric redshifts and determining redshift distributions using spectroscopy which is systematically incomplete (e.g., current deep spectroscopic surveys fail to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-01-20 Daniel J. Matthews , Jeffrey A. Newman

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (PTSF) plays a critical role in domains requiring accurate and uncertainty-aware predictions for decision-making. However, existing methods offer suboptimal distribution modeling and suffer from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Chih-Yu Lai , Yu-Chien Ning , Duane S. Boning

Random Fourier Features (RFF) is among the most popular and broadly applicable approaches for scaling up kernel methods. In essence, RFF allows the user to avoid costly computations on a large kernel matrix via a fast randomized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-23 Junwen Yao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Miles E. Lopes

This paper studies transfer learning for estimating the mean of random functions based on discretely sampled data, where, in addition to observations from the target distribution, auxiliary samples from similar but distinct source…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 T. Tony Cai , Dongwoo Kim , Hongming Pu

Measurement error is an important problem that has not been very well studied in the context of Functional Data Analysis. To the best of our knowledge, there are no existing methods that address the presence of functional measurement errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Sneha Jadhav , Shuangge Ma