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Bayesian optimisation is a popular, surrogate model-based approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. Given a surrogate model, the next location to expensively evaluate is chosen via maximisation of a cheap-to-query acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 George De Ath , Richard M. Everson , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Alma A. M. Rahat

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective paradigm for the optimization of expensive-to-sample systems. Standard BO learns the performance of a system $f(x)$ by using a Gaussian Process (GP) model; this treats the system as a black-box and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-03 Leonardo D. González , Victor M. Zavala

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Numerous engineering problems of interest to the industry are often characterized by expensive black-box objective experiments or computer simulations. Obtaining insight into the problem or performing subsequent optimizations requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-29 Piyush Pandita , Jesper Kristensen , Liping Wang

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

Bayesian Optimization is a popular tool for tuning algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) systems. Current state-of-the-art methods leverage Random Forests or Gaussian processes to build a surrogate model that predicts algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jeroen van Hoof , Joaquin Vanschoren

Bayesian optimization (BO) selects evaluation points for expensive black-box objectives using Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions. Kernel choice and hyperparameter selection can lead to miscalibrated predictive distributions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

Black-box optimization problems, which are common in many real-world applications, require optimization through input-output interactions without access to internal workings. This often leads to significant computational resources being…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Hao Hao , Xiaoqun Zhang , Aimin Zhou

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Approximate Bayesian inference based on Laplace approximation and quadrature methods have become increasingly popular for their efficiency at fitting latent Gaussian models (LGM), which encompass popular models such as Bayesian generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Dayi Li , Ziang Zhang

Bayesian optimization (BO) provides a powerful framework for optimizing black-box, expensive-to-evaluate functions. It is therefore an attractive tool for engineering design problems, typically involving multiple objectives. Thanks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Navid Ansari , Alireza Javanmardi , Eyke Hüllermeier , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

This paper presents a novel approach to top-$k$ ranking Bayesian optimization (top-$k$ ranking BO) which is a practical and significant generalization of preferential BO to handle top-$k$ ranking and tie/indifference observations. We first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Quoc Phong Nguyen , Sebastian Tay , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Collaborative Optimization (CO) is a multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) framework that decomposes large-scale engineering problems into parallel, independently solvable subsystems coordinated by a system-level optimizer. Its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Mohamed Ali Belhafnaoui , Youssef Diouane

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an efficient and flexible global optimization framework that is applicable to a very wide range of engineering applications. To leverage the capability of the classical BO, many extensions, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-01 Anh Tran , Mike Eldred , Scott McCann , Yan Wang

In Bayesian optimization, a black-box function is maximized via the use of a surrogate model. We apply distributed Thompson sampling, using a Gaussian process as a surrogate model, to approach the multi-agent Bayesian optimization problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Saba Zerefa , Zhaolin Ren , Haitong Ma , Na Li

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used iterative algorithm for optimizing black-box functions. Each iteration requires maximizing an acquisition function, such as the upper confidence bound (UCB) or a sample path from the Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Hwanwoo Kim , Chong Liu , Yuxin Chen

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful and data-efficient method for iterative materials discovery and design, particularly valuable when prior knowledge is limited, underlying functional relationships are complex or unknown, and the cost…

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box functions, commonly based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models. Its effectiveness relies on uncertainty quantification that is both sharp…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Teemu Turpeinen , Samuel Kaski

We consider Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained. This occurs for example when complex simulator-based statistical models are fitted to data, and synthetic likelihood (SL) method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

We propose to use Bayesian optimization (BO) to improve the efficiency of the design selection process in clinical trials. BO is a method to optimize expensive black-box functions, by using a regression as a surrogate to guide the search.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Jakob Richter , Tim Friede , Jörg Rahnenführer