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Related papers: Inference and Sampling for Archimax Copulas

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We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

This is an epistemological approach to errors in both inference and risk management, leading to necessary structural properties for the probability distribution. Many mechanisms have been used to show the emergence of fat tails. Here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Zhongwei Zhang , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We show how to construct the implied copula process of response values from a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with prior on the leaf node variances. This copula process, defined on the covariate space, can be paired with any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Jan Martin Wenkel , Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

The presence of measurement error is a widespread issue which, when ignored, can render the results of an analysis unreliable. Numerous corrections for the effects of measurement error have been proposed and studied, often under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Dylan Spicker , Michael Wallace , Grace Yi

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The quality of a tail model, which is determined by data from an unknown distribution, depends critically on the subset of data used to model the tail. Based on a suitably weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

Nested Archimedean copulas recently gained interest since they generalize the well-known class of Archimedean copulas to allow for partial asymmetry. Sampling algorithms and strategies have been well investigated for nested Archimedean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Marius Hofert , David Pham

Strong anomalous diffusion is {often} characterized by a piecewise-linear spectrum of the moments of displacement. The spectrum is characterized by slopes $\xi$ and $\zeta$ for small and large moments, respectively, and by the critical…

The concept of intermediate tail dependence is useful if one wants to quantify the degree of positive dependence in the tails when there is no strong evidence of presence of the usual tail dependence. We first review existing studies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-05 Lei Hua , Harry Joe

The normal distribution and its perturbation has left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Hence, several generalized forms were developed to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. However, it is not easy to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Matthias Wagener , Mohammad Arashi

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Copula-based methods provide a flexible approach to build missing data imputation models of multivariate data of mixed types. However, the choice of copula function is an open question. We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Jiali Wang , Anton Westveld , Bronwyn Loong , Alan Welsh

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Emma S. Simpson , Jonathan A. Tawn

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

There is a growing interest in cell-type-specific analysis from bulk samples with a mixture of different cell types. A critical first step in such analyses is the accurate estimation of cell-type proportions in a bulk sample. Although many…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Biao Cai , Jingfei Zhang , Hongyu Li , Chang Su , Hongyu Zhao
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