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We deal here with the issue of determinism versus randomness in time series. One wishes to identify their relative weights in a given time series. Two different tools have been advanced in the literature to such effect, namely, i) the…

Local correlation entropy, introduced by Takens in 1983, represents the exponential decay rate of the relative frequency of recurrences in the trajectory of a point, as the embedding dimension grows to infinity. In this paper we study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Vladimír Špitalský

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

This paper introduces a simple measure of a concordance pattern among observed outcomes along a network, i.e., the pattern in which adjacent outcomes tend to be more strongly correlated than non-adjacent outcomes. The graph concordance…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-04 Kyungchul Song

Nonparametric regression problems with qualitative constraints such as monotonicity or convexity are ubiquitous in applications. For example, in predicting the yield of a factory in terms of the number of labor hours, the monotonicity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Soham Mallick , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We discuss asymptotics for large random planar maps under the assumption that the distribution of the degree of a typical face is in the domain of attraction of a stable distribution with index $\alpha\in(1,2)$. When the number $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-23 Jean-François Le Gall , Grégory Miermont

A general method is presented for deriving the limiting behavior of estimators that are defined as the values of parameters optimizing an empirical criterion function. The asymptotic behavior of such estimators is typically deduced from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Radchenko

In this paper, various chaotic properties and their relationships for interval maps are discussed. It is shown that the proximal relation is an equivalence relation for any zero entropy interval map. The structure of the set of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-05-20 Jian Li

The paper studies nonstationary high-dimensional vector autoregressions of order $k$, VAR($k$). Additional deterministic terms such as trend or seasonality are allowed. The number of time periods, $T$, and the number of coordinates, $N$,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-29 Anna Bykhovskaya , Vadim Gorin

The peculiar uncertainty or randomness of quantum measurements stems from coherence, whose information-theoretic characterization is currently under investigation. Under the resource theory of coherence, it is interesting to investigate…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-10-25 Xiao Yuan , Qi Zhao , Davide Girolami , Xiongfeng Ma

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

Asymptotic bootstrap validity is usually understood as consistency of the distribution of a bootstrap statistic, conditional on the data, for the unconditional limit distribution of a statistic of interest. From this perspective, randomness…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Iliyan Georgiev

For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

Systems of a large number N of globally coupled maps have become popular as a relatively simple prototype of high-dimensional dynamics, showing many interesting and typical phenomena like synchronisation, cluster formation and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 Andreas Hamm

We study a random dynamical system such that one transformation is randomly selected from a family of transformations and then applied on each iteration. For such random dynamical systems, we consider estimates of absolutely continuous…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Tomoki Inoue

Asymptotic equivalence results for nonparametric regression experiments have always assumed that the variances of the observations are known. In practice, however the variance of each observation is generally considered to be an unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Andrew V. Carter

By different methods we show that for dynamical chaos in the standard map with critical golden curve the Poincar\'e recurrences P(\tau) and correlations C(\tau) asymptotically decay in time as P ~ C/\tau ~ 1/\tau^3. It is also explained why…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 B. V. Chirikov , D. L. Shepelyansky

The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu
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