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Motivated by the increasing abundance of data describing real-world networks that exhibit dynamical features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) that accommodates the time variation of its parameters.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

We propose a family of statistical models for social network evolution over time, which represents an extension of Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs). Many of the methods for ERGMs are readily adapted for these models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-08-11 Steve Hanneke , Wenjie Fu , Eric Xing

Temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) are powerful statistical models that can be used to infer the temporal pattern of edge formation and elimination in complex networks (e.g., social networks). TERGMs can also be used in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Yifan Huang , Clayton Barham , Eric Page , PK Douglas

Statistical analysis of social networks provides valuable insights into complex network interactions across various scientific disciplines. However, accurate modeling of networks remains challenging due to the heavy computational burden and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Helal El-Zaatari , Fei Yu , Michael R Kosorok

Exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) provide a principled and flexible way to model and simulate features common in social networks, such as propensities for homophily, mutuality, and friend-of-a-friend triad closure, through…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-01 Pavel N. Krivitsky

A new modelling approach for the analysis of weighted networks with ordinal/polytomous dyadic values is introduced. Specifically, it is proposed to model the weighted network connectivity structure using a hierarchical multilayer…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-05 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

Random graphs, where the connections between nodes are considered random variables, have wide applicability in the social sciences. Exponential-family Random Graph Models (ERGM) have shown themselves to be a useful class of models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-02 Ian Fellows , Mark S. Handcock

Exponential random graph models, or ERGMs, are a flexible and general class of models for modeling dependent data. While the early literature has shown them to be powerful in capturing many network features of interest, recent work…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Vishesh Karwa , Sonja Petrović , Denis Bajić

Dynamic networks are commonly used in applications where relational data is observed over time. Statistical models for such data should capture not only the temporal dependencies between networks observed in time, but also the structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Jihui Lee , Gen Li , James D. Wilson

We define a general class of network formation models, Statistical Exponential Random Graph Models (SERGMs), that nest standard exponential random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case. We provide the first general results on when these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-26 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Matthew O. Jackson

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) behave peculiar in large networks with thousand(s) of actors (nodes). Standard models containing two-star or triangle counts as statistics are often unstable leading to completely full or empty…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Stephanie Thiemichen , Göran Kauermann

I propose an estimation algorithm for Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM), a popular statistical network model for estimating the structural parameters of strategic network formation in economics and finance. Existing methods often…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Yoon Choi

As a representation of relational data over time series, longitudinal networks provide opportunities to study link formation processes. However, networks at scale often exhibits community structure (i.e. clustering), which may confound…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Ming Cao

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are widely used for modeling social networks observed at one point in time. However the computational difficulty of ERGM parameter estimation has limited the practical application of this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-24 Alex Stivala , Garry Robins , Alessandro Lomi

Exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) can be understood in terms of a set of structural biases that act on an underlying reference distribution. This distribution determines many aspects of the behavior and interpretation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Carter T. Butts

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs), also known as p* models, have been utilized extensively in the social science literature to study complex networks and how their global structure depends on underlying structural components. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 Sean L. Simpson , Satoru Hayasaka , Paul J. Laurienti
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