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The contagion dynamics can emerge in social networks when repeated activation is allowed. An interesting example of this phenomenon is retweet cascades where users allow to re-share content posted by other people with public accounts. To…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Zbigniew Palmowski , Daria Puchalska

In this paper we study the number of customers in infinite-server queues with a self-exciting (Hawkes) arrival process. Initially we assume that service requirements are exponentially distributed and that the Hawkes arrival process is of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-02 David Koops , Mayank Saxena , Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

Many stochastic systems have arrival processes that exhibit clustering behavior. In these systems, arriving entities influence additional arrivals to occur through self-excitation of the arrival process. In this paper, we analyze an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Andrew Daw , Jamol Pender

Hawkes processes are a self-exciting stochastic process used to describe phenomena whereby past events increase the probability of the occurrence of future events. This work presents a flexible approach for modelling a variant of these,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Raiha Browning , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

The COS method proposed in Fang and Oosterlee (2008), although highly efficient, may lack robustness for a number of cases. In this paper, we present a Stable pricing of call options based on Fourier cosine series expansion. The Stability…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-10 Chunfa Wang

We generalise the construction of multivariate Hawkes processes to a possibly infinite network of counting processes on a directed graph $\mathbb G$. The process is constructed as the solution to a system of Poisson driven stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier , Marc Hoffmann

In this paper, we relax the power parameter of instantaneous variance and develop a new stochastic volatility plus jumps model that generalize the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. This model has two distinctive features. First,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-20 Wei Lin , Shenghong Li , Shane Chern

A univariate Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process is given by the sum of a baseline intensity and another term that depends on the entire past history…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we develop the first perfect sampling algorithm for queues with Hawkes input, i.e. single-server queues with Hawkes arrivals and i.i.d. service times of general distribution. In addition to the stability condition, we also…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Xinyun Chen

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 E. Bacry , J. F Muzy

In this paper we propose a semi-analytic approach to pricing American options for time-dependent jump-diffusions models with exponential jumps The idea of the method is to further generalize our approach developed for pricing barrier,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Andrey Itkin

We develop a novel deep learning approach for pricing European options in diffusion models, that can efficiently handle high-dimensional problems resulting from Markovian approximations of rough volatility models. The option pricing partial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-04 Antonis Papapantoleon , Jasper Rou

In this paper, we consider option pricing in a framework of the fractional Heston-type model with $H>1/2$. As it is impossible to obtain an explicit formula for the expectation $\mathbb E f(S_T)$ in this case, where $S_T$ is the asset price…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

This paper explores the application and significance of the second-order Esscher pricing model in option pricing and risk management. We split the study into two main parts. First, we focus on the constant jump diffusion (CJD) case,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-30 Tahir Choulli , Ella Elazkany , Mich`ele Vanmaele

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

The ability to model and predict the popularity dynamics of individual user generated items on online media has important implications in a wide range of areas. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic model using a Self-Excited Hawkes…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Peng Bao , Hua-Wei Shen , Xiaolong Jin , Xue-Qi Cheng

The Hawkes process (HP) has been widely applied to modeling self-exciting events including neuron spikes, earthquakes and tweets. To avoid designing parametric triggering kernel and to be able to quantify the prediction confidence, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

In this article we consider affine generalizations of the Merton jump diffusion model [Merton, J. Fin. Econ., 1976] and the respective pricing of European options. On the one hand, the Brownian motion part in the Merton model may be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Christian Bayer , John Schoenmakers

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

Path integral techniques for the pricing of financial options are mostly based on models that can be recast in terms of a Fokker-Planck differential equation and that, consequently, neglect jumps and only describe drift and diffusion. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 L. Z. J. Liang , D. Lemmens , J. Tempere