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Accurate short-range prediction of extreme air temperature events remains a fundamental challenge in operational climate-risk management. We present Multi-Modal Weather State Transition Model with Anomaly-Driven Recurrent Attention Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Shaheen Mohammed Saleh Ahmed , Hakan Hakan Guneyli

Predictions in the form of probability distributions are crucial for effective decision-making. Quantile regression enables such predictions within spatial prediction settings that aim to create improved precipitation datasets by merging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

This paper considers the problem of distributed estimation in wireless sensor networks (WSN), which is anticipated to support a wide range of applications such as the environmental monitoring, weather forecasting, and location estimation.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-26 Meng He , Ran Li , Chuan Huang , Shulong Zhang

The robotic systems continuously interact with complex dynamical systems in the physical world. Reliable predictions of spatiotemporal evolution of these dynamical systems, with limited knowledge of system dynamics, are crucial for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Yun Long , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Ensemble forecast based on physics-informed models is one of the most widely used forecast algorithms for complex turbulent systems. A major difficulty in such a method is the model error that is ubiquitous in practice. Data-driven machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-24 Nan Chen , Yingda Li

Capitalizing on the recent availability of ERA5 monthly averaged long-term data records of mean atmospheric and climate fields based on high-resolution reanalysis, deep-learning architectures offer an alternative to physics-based daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Pratik Shukla , Milton Halem

Accurately describing the distribution of CO$_2$ in the atmosphere with atmospheric tracer transport models is essential for greenhouse gas monitoring and verification support systems to aid implementation of international climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Vitus Benson , Ana Bastos , Christian Reimers , Alexander J. Winkler , Fanny Yang , Markus Reichstein

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

The acquisition of accurate rainfall distribution in space is an important task in hydrological analysis and natural disaster pre-warning. However, it is impossible to install rain gauges on every corner. Spatial interpolation is a common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Jia Li , Yanyan Shen , Lei Chen , Charles Wang Wai NG

Precise estimation of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of rolling bearings is an important consideration to avoid unexpected failures, reduce downtime, and promote safety and efficiency in industrial systems. Complications in degradation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Ali Mohajerzarrinkelk , Maryam Ahang , Mehran Zoravar , Mostafa Abbasi , Homayoun Najjaran

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

We present a method that learns to integrate temporal information, from a learned dynamics model, with ambiguous visual information, from a learned vision model, in the context of interacting agents. Our method is based on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Chen Sun , Per Karlsson , Jiajun Wu , Joshua B Tenenbaum , Kevin Murphy

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have rapidly risen to prominence due to their greater accuracy and speed than traditional forecasts based on numerical weather prediction (NWP), recently outperforming traditional ensembles in…

Graph neural networks (GNNs) model nonlinear representations in graph data with applications in distributed agent coordination, control, and planning among others. Current GNN architectures assume ideal scenarios and ignore link…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-01 Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi , Alejandro Ribeiro

Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Christopher J. Mattioli , Mark S. Veillette

Weather forecasting is dominated by numerical weather prediction that tries to model accurately the physical properties of the atmosphere. A downside of numerical weather prediction is that it is lacking the ability for short-term forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Kevin Trebing , Tomasz Stanczyk , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Neural network (NN) ensembles can reduce large prediction variance of NN and improve prediction accuracy. For highly nonlinear problems with insufficient data set, the prediction accuracy of NN models becomes unstable, resulting in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Ungki Lee , Namwoo Kang

The growing prevalence of inverter-based resources (IBRs) for renewable energy integration and electrification greatly challenges power system dynamic analysis. To account for both synchronous generators (SGs) and IBRs, this work presents…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-24 Shaohui Liu , Weiqian Cai , Hao Zhu , Brian Johnson