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Detecting anomalies and the corresponding root causes in multivariate time series plays an important role in monitoring the behaviors of various real-world systems, e.g., IT system operations or manufacturing industry. Previous anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Wenzhuo Yang , Kun Zhang , Steven C. H. Hoi

Deep, overparameterized regression models are notorious for their tendency to overfit. This problem is exacerbated in heteroskedastic models, which predict both mean and residual noise for each data point. At one extreme, these models fit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level…

This paper presents an approach for identifying the root causes of collective anomalies given observational time series and an acyclic summary causal graph which depicts an abstraction of causal relations present in a dynamic system at its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Charles K. Assaad , Imad Ez-zejjari , Lei Zan

We investigate the estimation of the causal effect of a treatment variable on an outcome in the presence of a latent confounder. We first show that the causal effect is identifiable under certain conditions when data is available from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yaroslav Kivva , Sina Akbari , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

A fundamental problem of causal discovery is cause-effect inference, learning the correct causal direction between two random variables. Significant progress has been made through modelling the effect as a function of its cause and a noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Xiangyu Sun , Oliver Schulte

Causal inference and model interpretability research are gaining increasing attention, especially in the domains of healthcare and bioinformatics. Despite recent successes in this field, decorrelating features under nonlinear environments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Junda Wang , Weijian Li , Han Wang , Hanjia Lyu , Caroline Thirukumaran , Addisu Mesfin , Jiebo Luo

Due to a wide spectrum of applications in the real world, such as security, financial surveillance, and health risk, various deep anomaly detection models have been proposed and achieved state-of-the-art performance. However, besides being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Xiao Han , Lu Zhang , Yongkai Wu , Shuhan Yuan

A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

We present a personalized and reliable prediction model for healthcare, which can provide individually tailored medical services such as diagnosis, disease treatment, and prevention. Our proposed framework targets at making personalized and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Ingyo Chung , Saehoon Kim , Juho Lee , Kwang Joon Kim , Sung Ju Hwang , Eunho Yang

In application domains such as healthcare, we want accurate predictive models that are also causally interpretable. In pursuit of such models, we propose a causal regularizer to steer predictive models towards causally-interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Krzysztof Chalupka , Edward Choi , Robert Chen , Walter F. Stewart , Jimeng Sun

Rare diseases affect hundreds of millions worldwide, yet diagnosis often spans years. Convectional pipelines decouple noisy evidence extraction from downstream inferential diagnosis, and general/medical large language models (LLMs) face…

The incidence rate of voice diseases is increasing year by year. The use of software for remote diagnosis is a technical development trend and has important practical value. Among voice diseases, common diseases that cause hoarseness…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Xiaoping Xie , Hao Cai , Can Li , Fei Ding

Sensor noise sources cause differences in the signal recorded across pixels in a single image and across multiple images. This paper presents a Bayesian approach to decomposing and characterizing the sensor noise sources involved in imaging…

Heterogeneity in medical data, e.g., from data collected at different sites and with different protocols in a clinical study, is a fundamental hurdle for accurate prediction using machine learning models, as such models often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Rongguang Wang , Pratik Chaudhari , Christos Davatzikos

A fundamental challenge of scientific research is inferring causal relations based on observed data. One commonly used approach involves utilizing structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among interacting…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-13 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Traditional statistical approaches primarily aim to model associations between variables, but many scientific and practical questions require causal methods instead. These approaches rely on assumptions about an underlying structure, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Fred van Eeuwijk , Pariya Behrouzi

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Epilepsy is a disorder characterised by spontaneous, recurrent seizures. Both local and network abnormalities have been associated with epilepsy, and the exact processes generating seizures are thought to be heterogeneous and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-07 Yujiang Wang , Gabrielle Marie Schroeder , Nishant Sinha , Peter Neal Taylor

Multi-rater medical image segmentation captures the inherent ambiguity of clinical interpretation, where diagnostic boundaries vary across experts and imaging devices. Existing approaches often reduce this diversity to consensus labels or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sanaz Karimijafarbigloo , Armin Khosravi , Alireza Kheyrkhah , Reza Azad , Mauricio Reyes , Dorit Merhof