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We study the estimation of the probability distribution of individual patient waiting times in an emergency department (ED). Our feature-rich modelling allows for dynamic updating and refinement of waiting time estimates as patient- and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Siddharth Arora , James W. Taylor , Ho-Yin Mak

The electricity industry is heavily implementing smart grid technologies to improve reliability, availability, security, and efficiency. This implementation needs technological advancements, the development of standards and regulations, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Ankitha Nandipura Prasanna , Priscila Grecov , Angela Dieyu Weng , Christoph Bergmeir

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused devastating economic and social disruption, straining the resources of healthcare institutions worldwide. This has led to a nationwide call for models to predict hospitalization and severe illness in…

Emergency department's (ED) boarding (defined as ED waiting time greater than four hours) has been linked to poor patient outcomes and health system performance. Yet, effective forecasting models is rare before COVID-19, lacking during the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Eman Leung , Jingjing Guan , Kin On Kwok , CT Hung , CC. Ching , CK. Chung , Hector Tsang , EK Yeoh , Albert Lee

Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, a significant amount of effort had been put into developing techniques that predict the number of infections under various assumptions about the public policy and non-pharmaceutical interventions. While…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Sharare Zehtabian , Siavash Khodadadeh , Damla Turgut , Ladislau Bölöni

The performance of Emergency Departments (EDs) is of great importance for any health care system, as they serve as the entry point for many patients. However, among other factors, the variability of patient acuity levels and corresponding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Nikolaus Furian , Michael O'Sullivan , Cameron Walker , Melanie Reuter-Oppermann

Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

This study investigated the performance, explainability, and robustness of deployed artificial intelligence (AI) models in predicting mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond. The first study of its kind, we found that Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jacob R. Epifano , Stephen Glass , Ravi P. Ramachandran , Sharad Patel , Aaron J. Masino , Ghulam Rasool

The recent increase in morbidity is primarily due to chronic diseases including Diabetes, Heart disease, Lung cancer, and brain tumours. The results for patients can be improved, and the financial burden on the healthcare system can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Sri Varsha Mulakala , G. Neeharika , P. Vinay Kumar , A. Bhargava Kiran

Augmentation of disease diagnosis and decision-making in healthcare with machine learning algorithms is gaining much impetus in recent years. In particular, in the current epidemiological situation caused by COVID-19 pandemic, swift and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Leopold Franz , Yash Raj Shrestha , Bibek Paudel

Significant advancements have been made in recent years to optimize patient recruitment for clinical trials, however, improved methods for patient recruitment prediction are needed to support trial site selection and to estimate appropriate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Jingshu Liu , Patricia J Allen , Luke Benz , Daniel Blickstein , Evon Okidi , Xiao Shi

Referral workflow inefficiencies, including misaligned referrals and delays, contribute to suboptimal patient outcomes and higher healthcare costs. In this study, we investigated the possibility of predicting procedural needs based on…

Patient scheduling is a difficult task involving stochastic factors such as the unknown arrival times of patients. Similarly, the scheduling of radiotherapy for cancer treatments needs to handle patients with different urgency levels when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Tu-San Pham , Antoine Legrain , Patrick De Causmaecker , Louis-Martin Rousseau

The surgical department and adequate access to health care are critical problems. The operating room plays a fundamental role in the performance of a hospital. The real problem faces several issues to collect data and optimize scheduling…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-25 Zahra Namazian , Emad Roghanian

The healthcare sector is an important pillar of every community, numerous research studies have been carried out in this context to optimize medical processes and improve care quality and facilitate patient management. In this article we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Chaimae Taoussi , Imad Hafidi , Abdelmoutalib Metrane

In realistic scenarios, multivariate timeseries evolve over case-by-case time-scales. This is particularly clear in medicine, where the rate of clinical events varies by ward, patient, and application. Increasingly complex models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Jacob Deasy , Ari Ercole , Pietro Liò

In countries that enabled patients to choose their own providers, a common problem is that the patients did not make rational decisions, and hence, fail to use healthcare resources efficiently. This might cause problems such as overwhelming…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Lichin Chen , Yu Tsao , Ji-Tian Sheu

Statistical methods such as the Box-Jenkins method for time-series forecasting have been prominent since their development in 1970. Many researchers rely on such models as they can be efficiently estimated and also provide interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Indrajeet Y. Javeri , Mohammadhossein Toutiaee , Ismailcem B. Arpinar , Tom W. Miller , John A. Miller