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We examine settings in which agents choose behaviors and care about their neighbors' behaviors, but have incomplete information about the network in which they are embedded. We develop a model in which agents use local knowledge of their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-04 Promit K. Chaudhuri , Matthew O. Jackson , Sudipta Sarangi , Hector Tzavellas

Population behaviours, such as voting and vaccination, depend on social networks. Social networks can differ depending on behaviour type and are typically hidden. However, we do often have large-scale behavioural data, albeit only snapshots…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Nick S. Jones

Network models are widely used to represent relational information among interacting units and the structural implications of these relations. Recently, social network studies have focused a great deal of attention on random graph models of…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-06 Mark S. Handcock , Krista J. Gile

Many studies have shown that there are regularities in the way human beings make decisions. However, our ability to obtain models that capture such regularities and can accurately predict unobserved decisions is still limited. We tackle…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-11 Gael Poux-Medard , Sergio Cobo-Lopez , Jordi Duch , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

This paper presents an experimental study to investigate the learning and decision making behavior of individuals in a human society. Social learning is used as the mathematical basis for modelling interaction of individuals that aim to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-08-25 Maziyar Hamdi , Grayden Solman , Alan Kingstone , Vikram Krishnamurthy

We investigate the problem of truth discovery based on opinions from multiple agents who may be unreliable or biased. We consider the case where agents' reliabilities or biases are correlated if they belong to the same community, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Jielong Yang , Junshan Wang , Wee Peng Tay

To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

In many applications, different populations are compared using data that are sampled in a biased manner. Under sampling biases, standard methods that estimate the difference between the population means yield unreliable inferences. Here we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

People act upon their desires, but often, also act in adherence to implicit social norms. How do people infer these unstated social norms from others' behavior, especially in novel social contexts? We propose that laypeople have intuitive…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Zhi-Xuan Tan , Desmond C. Ong

We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Consider a population of individuals and a network that encodes social connections among them. We are interested in making inference on finite population and super-population estimands that are a function of both individuals' responses and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-13 Simon Lunagomez , Edoardo Airoldi

Observation of other people's choices can provide useful information in many circumstances. However, individuals may not utilize this information efficiently, i.e., they may make decision-making errors in social interactions. In this paper,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-10 Mohsen Foroughifar

People's perceptions about the size of minority groups in social networks can be biased, often showing systematic over- or underestimation. These social perception biases are often attributed to biased cognitive or motivational processes.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-13 Eun Lee , Fariba Karimi , Claudia Wagner , Hang-Hyun Jo , Markus Strohmaier , Mirta Galesic

The role of perception in conscious behavior and decision-making is examined. The effect of spatial and temporal stochasticity in the acquisition of beliefs is discussed. The idea of an agent as a locally strongly coupled group of states…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-01-27 Fariel Shafee

Decisions by humans depend on their estimations given some uncertain sensory data. These decisions can also be influenced by the behavior of others. Here we present a mathematical model to quantify this influence, inviting a further study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Gabriel Madirolas , Alfonso Perez-Escudero , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

Agents often have individual goals which depend on a group's actions. If agents trust a forecast of collective action and adapt strategically, such prediction can influence outcomes non-trivially, resulting in a form of performative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 António Góis , Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Fernando P. Santos , Gauthier Gidel , Simon Lacoste-Julien

We explore conclusions a person draws from observing society when he allows for the possibility that individuals' outcomes are affected by group-level discrimination. Injecting a single non-classical assumption, that the agent is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-09-19 Paul Heidhues , Botond Kőszegi , Philipp Strack

Humans and other animals often follow the decisions made by others because these are indicative of the quality of possible choices, resulting in `social response rules': observed relationships between the probability that an agent will make…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-28 Richard P. Mann

Social behaviors are often contagious, spreading through a population as individuals imitate the decisions and choices of others. A variety of global phenomena, from innovation adoption to the emergence of social norms and political…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-27 Kristina Lerman , Xiaoran Yan , Xin-Zeng Wu

Dynamic models and statistical inference for the diffusion of information in social networks is an area which has witnessed remarkable progress in the last decade due to the proliferation of social networks. Modeling and inference of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Buddhika Nettasinghe
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