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We estimate the Hurst parameter $H$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. The presence of systematic experimental noise makes recovery of $H$ more difficult since relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion from continuous time noisy sample. Consistent estimation in the setup under consideration is possible only if either the length of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-09 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

Rough volatility models have gained considerable interest in the quantitative finance community in recent years. In this paradigm, the volatility of the asset price is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a small value for the Hurst…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

We investigate the Local Asymptotic Property for fractional Brownian models based on discrete observations contaminated by a Gaussian moving average process. We consider both situations of low and high-frequency observations in a unified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-01 Grégoire Szymanski , Tetsuya Takabatake

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

We study stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with potentially very rough fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Close to a change of stability measured with a small parameter $\varepsilon$, we rely on the natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Dirk Blömker , Alexandra Neamtu

In [Han \& Schied, 2023, \textit{arXiv 2307.02582}], an easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We study a two-dimensional incompressible vorticity equation on the torus driven by transport-type fractional Brownian noise with Hurst parameter $H \in (1/2,1)$. The model captures persistent, long-range correlated forcing consistent with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Alexandra Blessing Neamtu , Dan Crisan , Oana Lang

We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the drift parameter of solution to the stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter less than $1/2$ under complete observation. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Kohei Chiba

Simulation of rough volatility models involves discretization of stochastic integrals where the integrand is a function of a (correlated) fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0,1/2)$. We obtain results on the rate of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-07 Paul Gassiat

We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Saad Mouti

This paper provides several statistical estimators for the drift and volatility parameters of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by fractional Brownian motion, whose observations can be made either continuously or at discrete time…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-29 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

We study the weak convergence rate in the discretization of rough volatility models. After showing a lower bound $2H$ under a general model, where $H$ is the Hurst index of the volatility process, we give a sharper bound $H + 1/2$ under a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Christian Bayer , Masaaki Fukasawa , Shonosuke Nakahara

In this article, we present the least squares estimator for the drift parameter in a linear regression model driven by the increment of a fractional Brownian motion sampled at random times. For two different random times, Jittered and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Lisandro Fermín , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

We consider a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, and a non-linear drift depending on an unknown parameter. We show the Local Asymptotic Normality property (LAN) of this parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Yanghui Liu , Eulalia Nualart , Samy Tindel

Small noise problems are quite important for all types of stochastic differential equations. In this paper we focus on rough differential equations driven by scaled fractional Brownian rough path with Hurst parameter H between 1/4 and 1/2.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Yuzuru Inahama , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang
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