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The phenomenon of spatial clustering induced by death and reproduction in a population of anomalously diffusing individuals is studied analytically. The possibility of social behaviors affecting the migration strategies has been taken into…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-30 Piero Olla

The Fermi Paradox is the apparent contradiction between the high probability extraterrestrial civilizations' existence and the lack of contact with such civilizations. In general, solutions to Fermi's paradox come down to either estimation…

Popular Physics · Physics 2010-07-27 I. Bezsudnov , A. Snarskii

Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-30 Timothy E. Holy

Proper econometric analysis should be informed by data structure. Many forms of financial data are recorded in discrete-time and relate to products of a finite term. If the data comes from a financial trust, it will often be further subject…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

How are granular details of stochastic growth and division of individual cells reflected in smooth deterministic growth of population numbers? We provide an integrated, multiscale perspective of microbial growth dynamics by formulating a…

The spatial structure of an evolving population affects which mutations become fixed. Some structures amplify selection, increasing the likelihood that beneficial mutations become fixed while deleterious mutations do not. Other structures…

Renewal models are widely used in statistical epidemiology as semi-mechanistic models of disease transmission. While primarily used for estimating the instantaneous reproduction number, they can also be used for generating projections,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Nicholas Steyn , Kris V. Parag , Robin N. Thompson , Christl A. Donnelly

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

We study a fractional birth-death process with state dependent birth and death rates. It is defined using a system of fractional differential equations that generalizes the classical birth-death process introduced by Feller (1939). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

We investigate the probability distribution of the quantum fluctuations of thermodynamic functions of finite, ballistic, phase-coherent Fermi gases. Depending on the chaotic or integrable nature of the underlying classical dynamics, on the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Leboeuf , A. G. Monastra

For proliferating cells subject to both division and death, how can one estimate the average generation number of the living population without continuous observation or a division-diluting dye? In this paper we provide a method for cell…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-28 Tom S. Weber , Leila Perie , Ken R. Duffy

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Understanding the statistical properties of a collection of individuals subject to random displacements and birth-and-death events is key to several applications in physics and life sciences, encompassing the diagnostic of nuclear reactors…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-22 Théophile Bonnet , Davide Mancusi , Andrea Zoia

We reconsider the deterministic haploid mutation-selection equation with two types. This is an ordinary differential equation that describes the type distribution (forward in time) in a population of infinite size. This paper establishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

The application of Statistical Physics to social systems is mainly related to the search for macroscopic laws, that can be derived from experimental data averaged in time or space,assuming the system in a steady state. One of the major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-14 Armando Bazzani , Bruno Giorgini , Sandro Rambaldi , Riccardo Gallotti , Luca Giovannini

We have simulated demographic changes in the human population using the Penna microscopic model, based on the simple Monte Carlo method. The results of simulations have shown that during a few generations changes in the genetic pool of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Laszkiewicz , Sz. Szymczak , S. Cebrat

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim

The Fermi paradox is the conflict between an expectation of a high {\em ex ante} probability of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe and the apparently lifeless universe we in fact observe. The expectation that the universe should be…

Popular Physics · Physics 2018-06-08 Anders Sandberg , Eric Drexler , Toby Ord

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Maicon Aparecido Pinheiro