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Most machine learning classifiers only concern classification accuracy, while certain applications (such as medical diagnosis, meteorological forecasting, and computation advertising) require the model to predict the true probability, known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Siguang Huang , Yunli Wang , Lili Mou , Huayue Zhang , Han Zhu , Chuan Yu , Bo Zheng

Random Forests (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) are two of the most widely used and highly performing classification and regression models. They aggregate equally weighted CART trees, generated randomly in RF or sequentially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yubing Cui

Gradient boosting of regression trees is a competitive procedure for learning predictive models of continuous data that fits the data with an additive non-parametric model. The classic version of gradient boosting assumes that the data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Iman Alodah , Jennifer Neville

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

Random Forests have been one of the most popular bagging methods in the past few decades, especially due to their success at handling tabular datasets. They have been extensively studied and compared to boosting models, like XGBoost, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vasiliki Stoumpou

Gradient boosting machines (GBMs) based on decision trees consistently demonstrate state-of-the-art results on regression and classification tasks with tabular data, often outperforming deep neural networks. However, these models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tristan Cinquin , Tammo Rukat , Philipp Schmidt , Martin Wistuba , Artur Bekasov

Boosting is a popular algorithm in supervised machine learning with wide applications in regression and classification problems. It combines weak learners, such as regression trees, to obtain accurate predictions. However, in the presence…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-06 Zhu Wang

Probabilistic prediction aims to compute predictive distributions rather than single point predictions. These distributions enable practitioners to quantify uncertainty, compute risk, and detect outliers. However, most probabilistic methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Nicolas Beltran-Velez , Alessandro Antonio Grande , Achille Nazaret , Alp Kucukelbir , David Blei

We propose a novel tree-based ensemble method, named XGBoostPP, to nonparametrically estimate the intensity of a point process as a function of covariates. It extends the use of gradient-boosted regression trees (Chen & Guestrin, 2016) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 C. Lu , Y. Guan , M. N. M. van Lieshout , G. Xu

We analyze the performance of the top-down multiclass classification algorithm for decision tree learning called LOMtree, recently proposed in the literature Choromanska and Langford (2014) for solving efficiently classification problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Anna Choromanska , Krzysztof Choromanski , Mariusz Bojarski

Most decision tree induction algorithms are based on a greedy top-down recursive partitioning strategy for tree growth. In this paper, we propose several methods for induction of decision trees and their ensembles based on evolutionary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Evgeny Dolotov , Nikolai Zolotykh

Influence estimation analyzes how changes to the training data can lead to different model predictions; this analysis can help us better understand these predictions, the models making those predictions, and the data sets they're trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Jonathan Brophy , Zayd Hammoudeh , Daniel Lowd

In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boosting algorithms with smooth transition regression trees. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-08 Yuri Fonseca , Marcelo Medeiros , Gabriel Vasconcelos , Alvaro Veiga

Time-series data classification is central to the analysis and control of autonomous systems, such as robots and self-driving cars. Temporal logic-based learning algorithms have been proposed recently as classifiers of such data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Erfan Aasi , Cristian Ioan Vasile , Mahroo Bahreinian , Calin Belta

Machine Learning algorithms, such as Boosted Decisions Trees and Deep Neural Network, are widely used in High-Energy-Physics. The aim of this study is to apply Bayesian Optimization to tune the hyperparameters used in a machine learning…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-11-12 Oriel Kiss

We present an application of a particular machine-learning method (Boosted Decision Trees, BDTs using AdaBoost) to separate stars and galaxies in photometric images using their catalog characteristics. BDTs are a well established machine…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-04-28 Ignacio Sevilla-Noarbe , Penélope Etayo-Sotos

Boosting combines weak classifiers to form highly accurate predictors. Although the case of binary classification is well understood, in the multiclass setting, the "correct" requirements on the weak classifier, or the notion of the most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-08-16 Indraneel Mukherjee , Robert E. Schapire

We provide time- and sample-efficient algorithms for learning and testing latent-tree Ising models, i.e. Ising models that may only be observed at their leaf nodes. On the learning side, we obtain efficient algorithms for learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Davin Choo , Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

Boosting algorithms to simultaneously estimate and select predictor effects in statistical models have gained substantial interest during the last decade. This review article aims to highlight recent methodological developments regarding…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-19 Andreas Mayr , Harald Binder , Olaf Gefeller , Matthias Schmid

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye
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