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Given only aggregate choice data and limited information about how menus are distributed across the population, we describe what can be inferred robustly about the distribution of preferences (or more general decision rules). We strengthen…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-16 Larry G Epstein , Kaushil Patel

In many first-price auctions, bidders face considerable strategic uncertainty: They cannot perfectly anticipate the other bidders' bidding behavior. We propose a model in which bidders do not know the entire distribution of opponent bids…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-30 Bernhard Kasberger

In economics, there are many ways to describe the interaction between a "seller" and a "buyer". The most common one, with which we interact almost every day, is selling for a fixed price. This option is perfect for selling a mass product,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-10 O. A. Malafeyev , I. E. Khomenko

We study the efficiency of sequential first-price item auctions at (subgame perfect) equilibrium. This auction format has recently attracted much attention, with previous work establishing positive results for unit-demand valuations and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-11 Michal Feldman , Brendan Lucier , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The declining price anomaly states that the price weakly decreases when multiple copies of an item are sold sequentially over time. The anomaly has been observed in a plethora of practical applications. On the theoretical side, Gale and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Vishnu V. Narayan , Enguerrand Prebet , Adrian Vetta

We propose a novel statistical learning method for multi-item auctions that incorporates credible intervals. Our approach employs nonparametric density estimation to estimate credible intervals for bidder types based on historical data. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jiale Han , Xiaowu Dai

The standard framework of online bidding algorithm design assumes that the seller commits himself to faithfully implementing the rules of the adopted auction. However, the seller may attempt to cheat in execution to increase his revenue if…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Qian Wang , Xuanzhi Xia , Zongjun Yang , Xiaotie Deng , Yuqing Kong , Zhilin Zhang , Liang Wang , Chuan Yu , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng

We study auction design when a seller relies on machine-learning predictions of bidders' valuations that may be unreliable. Motivated by modern ML systems that are often accurate but occasionally fail in a way that is essentially…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Ilan Lobel , Humberto Moreira , Omar Mouchtaki

Developing efficient sequential bidding strategies for repeated auctions is an important practical challenge in various marketing tasks. In this setting, the bidding agent obtains information, on both the value of the item at sale and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Juliette Achddou , Olivier Cappé , Aurélien Garivier

Most of the existing methods for anomaly detection use only positive data to learn the data distribution, thus they usually need a pre-defined threshold at the detection stage to determine whether a test instance is an outlier.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Kai Tian , Shuigeng Zhou , Jianping Fan , Jihong Guan

This paper studies nonparametric identification and counterfactual bounds for heterogeneous firms that can be ranked in terms of productivity. Our approach works when quantities and prices are latent, rendering standard approaches…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-07 Victor H. Aguiar , Nail Kashaev , Roy Allen

We study two standard multi-unit auction formats for allocating multiple units of a single good to multi-demand bidders. The first one is the Discriminatory Auction, which charges every winner his winning bids. The second is the Uniform…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-02 Bart de Keijzer , Evangelos Markakis , Guido Schäfer , Orestis Telelis

This paper studies a simplicity notion in a mechanism design setting in which agents do not necessarily share a common prior. I develop a model in which agents participate in a prior-free game of (coarse) information acquisition followed by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-10 Joseph Feffer

The paper proposes a parsimonious and flexible semiparametric quantile regression specification for asymmetric bidders within the independent private value framework. Asymmetry is parameterized using powers of a parent private value…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-21 Jayeeta Bhattacharya , Nathalie Gimenes , Emmanuel Guerre

In non-truthful auctions, agents' utility for a strategy depends on the strategies of the opponents and also the prior distribution over their private types; the set of Bayes Nash equilibria generally has an intricate dependence on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Hu Fu , Tao Lin

We introduce a new numerical framework to learn optimal bidding strategies in repeated auctions when the seller uses past bids to optimize her mechanism. Crucially, we do not assume that the bidders know what optimization mechanism is used…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Thomas Nedelec , Jules Baudet , Vianney Perchet , Noureddine El Karoui

We propose a uniform approach for the design and analysis of prior-free competitive auctions and online auctions. Our philosophy is to view the benchmark function as a variable parameter of the model and study a broad class of functions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Ning Chen , Nick Gravin , Pinyan Lu

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

This paper derives identification, estimation, and inference results using spatial differencing in sample selection models with unobserved heterogeneity. We show that under the assumption of smooth changes across space of the unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-15 Alexander Klein , Guy Tchuente

We study the design of truthful auctions for selling identical items in unlimited supply (e.g., digital goods) to n unit demand buyers. This classic problem stands out from profit-maximizing auction design literature as it requires no…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-07 Ning Chen , Nick Gravin , Pinyan Lu